Where and when is Arema FC vs Bhayangkara FC played?

Arema FC vs Bhayangkara FC is played on October 10, 2026 at 08:30 AM (UTC) at Stadion Kanjuruhan, in the Liga 1.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Arema FC vs Bhayangkara FC: prediction and stats

Liga 1Regular Season - 4Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 08:30 AM (UTC)Stadion Kanjuruhan, Kepanjen

Arema FC

Bhayangkara FC

The Footlab model makes Arema FC the favourite at 46%, against 25% for a draw and 29% for Bhayangkara FC. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Arema FC vs Bhayangkara FC?

A very open match: only 10 Elo points separate Arema FC (1,747) and Bhayangkara FC (1,758).

Arema FC win46 %

Draw25 %

Bhayangkara FC win29 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Arema FC have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Bhayangkara FC have 9, 0 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Arema FC
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 6, 2026	Persija(away)	1-3	Piala Presiden
Aug 4, 2026	Persebaya Surabaya(away)	0-1	Piala Presiden
Jul 31, 2026	DPMM FC Brunei(home)	2-0	Piala Presiden
Jul 28, 2026	Tampines Rovers(away)	2-1	Piala Presiden
Jul 25, 2026	Persib Bandung(away)	0-1	Piala Presiden

Bhayangkara FC
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 23, 2026	PSBS Biak Numfor(home)	7-0	Liga 1
May 17, 2026	Bali United(away)	1-4	Liga 1
May 11, 2026	Persepam Madura Utd(home)	3-1	Liga 1
May 4, 2026	PSM Makassar(away)	1-2	Liga 1
Apr 30, 2026	Persib Bandung(home)	2-4	Liga 1

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Arema FC win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Bhayangkara FC win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Mar 10, 2026	Bhayangkara FC 2-1 Arema FC	Liga 1
Aug 22, 2025	Arema FC 2-1 Bhayangkara FC	Liga 1
Mar 6, 2024	Arema FC 0-0 Bhayangkara FC	Liga 1
Sep 1, 2023	Bhayangkara FC 0-2 Arema FC	Liga 1
Apr 14, 2023	Arema FC 0-3 Bhayangkara FC	Liga 1
Dec 23, 2022	Bhayangkara FC 1-0 Arema FC	Liga 1

Last archived meeting: Bhayangkara FC vs Arema FC on Mar 10, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Arema FC score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Bhayangkara FC score 2.4 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Arema FC	1.5	1.3	5	7/15	8/15
Bhayangkara FC	2.4	1.7	3	12/15	14/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Arema FC sit 9th in Liga 1 (48 points from 34 matches) and Bhayangkara FC sit 5th (53 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
5	Bhayangkara FC	34	16	5	13	53	45	53
9	Arema FC	34	13	9	12	53	47	48

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Arema FC vs Bhayangkara FC?: The Footlab model makes Arema FC the favourite at 46%, against 25% for a draw and 29% for Bhayangkara FC.
Where and when is Arema FC vs Bhayangkara FC played?: Arema FC vs Bhayangkara FC is played on October 10, 2026 at 08:30 AM (UTC) at Stadion Kanjuruhan, in the Liga 1.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.