Match

Bidezarra vs San Juan: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 15Group 15 - 33Kick-off on May 1, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Campo Bidezarra de Noain, Noain

BidezarraSan Juan

The Footlab model makes Bidezarra the favourite at 37%, against 30% for a draw and 33% for San Juan. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Bidezarra vs San Juan?

San Juan starts as the favourite with a 101-point Elo edge (1,839 vs 1,738).

Bidezarra win37 %
Draw30 %
San Juan win33 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bidezarra have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; San Juan have 4, 7 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Bidezarra
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 9, 2026Oberena(home)3-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 15
May 3, 2026Izarra(away)0-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 15
Apr 25, 2026Aoiz(home)0-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 15
Apr 18, 2026Txantrea(home)4-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 15
Apr 11, 2026Pamplona(away)1-3Tercera División RFEF - Group 15
San Juan
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 14, 2026Avance Ezcabarte(home)2-1Friendlies Clubs
May 23, 2026Pamplona(away)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 15
May 16, 2026Pamplona(home)0-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 15
May 9, 2026Ardoi(home)3-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 15
May 3, 2026Beti Kozkor(away)0-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 15

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Bidezarra win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 San Juan win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 14, 2026San Juan 0-0 BidezarraTercera División RFEF - Group 15
Nov 1, 2025Bidezarra 1-1 San JuanTercera División RFEF - Group 15
Apr 17, 2025San Juan 4-0 BidezarraTercera División RFEF - Group 15
Dec 6, 2024Bidezarra 0-0 San JuanTercera División RFEF - Group 15

Last archived meeting: San Juan vs Bidezarra on Mar 14, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Bidezarra score 1.1 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; San Juan score 1.1 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 39% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Bidezarra1.10.975/156/15
San Juan1.11.058/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Bidezarra sit 13th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 (39 points from 34 matches) and San Juan sit 5th (52 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
5San Juan3412166432852
13Bidezarra34101015344039

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Bidezarra vs San Juan?
The Footlab model makes Bidezarra the favourite at 37%, against 30% for a draw and 33% for San Juan.
Where and when is Bidezarra vs San Juan played?
Bidezarra vs San Juan is played on May 1, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Campo Bidezarra de Noain, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 15.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 39% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Bidezarra and San Juan

Ready to know everything about football?