Cortes vs Avance Ezcabarte: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 15Group 15 - 33Kick-off on May 1, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio San Francisco Javier, Cortes (Navarra)
The Footlab model makes Cortes the favourite at 48%, against 26% for a draw and 26% for Avance Ezcabarte. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Cortes vs Avance Ezcabarte?
A very open match: only 8 Elo points separate Cortes (1,743) and Avance Ezcabarte (1,736).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cortes have 2 wins, 5 draws and 8 defeats; Avance Ezcabarte have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | Txantrea(away) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| May 3, 2026 | Pamplona(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Cirbonero(away) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Atlético Artajonés(home) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Subiza(away) | 1-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | San Juan(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 9, 2026 | Beti Onak(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| May 3, 2026 | Aoiz(home) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Ardoi(home) | 3-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Beti Kozkor(away) | 0-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Cortes win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Avance Ezcabarte win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2026 | Cortes 2-1 Avance Ezcabarte | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Nov 8, 2025 | Avance Ezcabarte 3-0 Cortes | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Apr 20, 2024 | Cortes 0-1 Avance Ezcabarte | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Dec 2, 2023 | Avance Ezcabarte 0-1 Cortes | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Jan 7, 2023 | Avance Ezcabarte 1-2 Cortes | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Sep 10, 2022 | Cortes 1-0 Avance Ezcabarte | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
Last archived meeting: Cortes vs Avance Ezcabarte on Mar 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Cortes score 1.1 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Avance Ezcabarte score 1.4 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cortes | 1.1 | 1.9 | 2 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| Avance Ezcabarte | 1.4 | 1.5 | 3 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Cortes sit 8th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 (44 points from 33 matches) and Avance Ezcabarte sit 8th (45 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Cortes | 33 | 13 | 5 | 15 | 35 | 48 | 44 |
| 8 | Avance Ezcabarte | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 47 | 49 | 45 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Cortes vs Avance Ezcabarte?
- The Footlab model makes Cortes the favourite at 48%, against 26% for a draw and 26% for Avance Ezcabarte.
- Where and when is Cortes vs Avance Ezcabarte played?
- Cortes vs Avance Ezcabarte is played on May 1, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio San Francisco Javier, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 15.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.