Cortes vs Avance Ezcabarte: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 15Group 15 - 33Kick-off on May 1, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio San Francisco Javier, Cortes (Navarra)
The Footlab AI model makes Cortes the favourite at 36%, against 29% for a draw and 35% for Avance Ezcabarte. The most likely score is 1-1. If Cortes wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,524 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 5, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Cortes vs Avance Ezcabarte?
A very open match: only 45 Elo points separate Cortes (1,708) and Avance Ezcabarte (1,753).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Cortes vs Avance Ezcabarte
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Cortes
Not enough data to predict the Cortes lineup.
Avance Ezcabarte
Not enough data to predict the Avance Ezcabarte lineup.
Computed on November 5, 2026 at 03:43 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cortes have 1 win, 6 draws and 8 defeats; Avance Ezcabarte have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Mutilvera(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Subiza(away) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Beti Onak(home) | 0-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Oct 8, 2026 | Txantrea(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Izarra(home) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Gazte Berriak(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Oct 23, 2026 | Huarte(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Doneztebe FT(home) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Aoiz(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Cantolagua(home) | 4-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Cortes wins, 0 draws, 2 Avance Ezcabarte wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2026 | Cortes 2-1 Avance Ezcabarte | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Nov 8, 2025 | Avance Ezcabarte 3-0 Cortes | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Apr 20, 2024 | Cortes 0-1 Avance Ezcabarte | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Dec 2, 2023 | Avance Ezcabarte 0-1 Cortes | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Jan 7, 2023 | Avance Ezcabarte 1-2 Cortes | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Sep 10, 2022 | Cortes 1-0 Avance Ezcabarte | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
Last archived meeting: Cortes vs Avance Ezcabarte on Mar 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Cortes score 0.6 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Avance Ezcabarte score 1.5 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cortes | 0.6 | 1.8 | 5 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Avance Ezcabarte | 1.5 | 1.6 | 2 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Cortes sit 17th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 (6 points from 9 matches) and Avance Ezcabarte sit 5th (14 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Avance Ezcabarte | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 9 | 14 |
| 17 | Cortes | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 16 | 6 |
A question about Cortes vs Avance Ezcabarte?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Cortes vs Avance Ezcabarte?
- The Footlab AI model makes Cortes the favourite at 36%, against 29% for a draw and 35% for Avance Ezcabarte.
- Where and when is Cortes vs Avance Ezcabarte played?
- Cortes vs Avance Ezcabarte is played on May 1, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio San Francisco Javier, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 15.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.