Mutilvera vs Aoiz: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 15Group 15 - 33Kick-off on May 1, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal Valle de Aranguren, Mutilva Baja
The Footlab AI model makes Mutilvera the favourite at 53%, against 25% for a draw and 22% for Aoiz. The most likely score is 1-1. If Mutilvera wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,457 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Mutilvera vs Aoiz?
On Elo ratings, Mutilvera has 1,801 points and Aoiz 1,738.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Mutilvera vs Aoiz
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Mutilvera
Not enough data to predict the Mutilvera lineup.
Aoiz
Not enough data to predict the Aoiz lineup.
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 05:43 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mutilvera have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Aoiz have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | San Juan(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Cirbonero(away) | 4-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Avance Ezcabarte(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Valle Egüés(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Gazte Berriak(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Avance Ezcabarte(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Valle Egüés(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Gazte Berriak(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Huarte(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Doneztebe FT(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
How many goals should we expect?
Mutilvera score 0.9 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Aoiz score 1.0 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mutilvera | 0.9 | 1.7 | 5 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
| Aoiz | 1.0 | 1.2 | 5 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Mutilvera sit 2nd in Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 (14 points from 6 matches) and Aoiz sit 7th (9 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Mutilvera | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 14 |
| 7 | Aoiz | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 9 |
A question about Mutilvera vs Aoiz?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Mutilvera vs Aoiz?
- The Footlab AI model makes Mutilvera the favourite at 53%, against 25% for a draw and 22% for Aoiz.
- Where and when is Mutilvera vs Aoiz played?
- Mutilvera vs Aoiz is played on May 1, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Valle de Aranguren, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 15.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.