Cantolagua vs Pamplona: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 15Group 15 - 33Kick-off on May 2, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal Cantolagua, Sangüesa
The Footlab model makes Pamplona the favourite at 51%, against 25% for a draw and 23% for Cantolagua. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Cantolagua vs Pamplona?
Pamplona is a heavy favourite: 1,924 Elo points against 1,606, a 318-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cantolagua have 2 wins, 4 draws and 9 defeats; Pamplona have 9, 5 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2025 | Pamplona(home) | 3-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| May 1, 2025 | Cirbonero(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Apr 27, 2025 | Cortes(home) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Apr 16, 2025 | Valle Egüés(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Apr 12, 2025 | Txantrea(home) | 2-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 20, 2026 | Real Murcia II(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs |
| Jun 14, 2026 | Real Murcia II(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Izarra(home) | 5-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| May 30, 2026 | Izarra(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| May 23, 2026 | San Juan(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Cantolagua win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Pamplona win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2025 | Cantolagua 3-3 Pamplona | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Jan 11, 2025 | Pamplona 1-0 Cantolagua | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| May 5, 2024 | Pamplona 1-0 Cantolagua | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Jan 14, 2024 | Cantolagua 3-1 Pamplona | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Feb 26, 2023 | Cantolagua 2-2 Pamplona | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Oct 29, 2022 | Pamplona 0-0 Cantolagua | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
Last archived meeting: Cantolagua vs Pamplona on May 10, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Cantolagua score 1.1 and concede 2.4 goals per match over their last 15; Pamplona score 1.9 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cantolagua | 1.1 | 2.4 | 1 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Pamplona | 1.9 | 0.8 | 5 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Pamplona | 34 | 22 | 8 | 4 | 65 | 28 | 74 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Cantolagua vs Pamplona?
- The Footlab model makes Pamplona the favourite at 51%, against 25% for a draw and 23% for Cantolagua.
- Where and when is Cantolagua vs Pamplona played?
- Cantolagua vs Pamplona is played on May 2, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Cantolagua, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 15.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.