Cantolagua vs Pamplona: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 15Group 15 - 33Kick-off on May 2, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal Cantolagua, Sangüesa
The Footlab AI model makes Pamplona the favourite at 52%, against 26% for a draw and 22% for Cantolagua. The most likely score is 1-1. If Pamplona wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.7% of the 3,863 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 29, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Cantolagua vs Pamplona?
Pamplona starts as the favourite with a 283-point Elo edge (1,886 vs 1,603).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Cantolagua vs Pamplona
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Cantolagua
4-3-3- FFermin Guallar
- DDani Navarrete
- JJavi Ayesa
- AAitor Macho
- XXabier Ormaechea
- AAnder Blanco
- JJulen Úriz
- IIker Pérez
- JJulián García
- IIñigo Amores
- AAlejandro Garrido
Pamplona
Not enough data to predict the Pamplona lineup.
Computed on October 29, 2026 at 06:54 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cantolagua have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Pamplona have 4, 7 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | Bidezarra(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | San Juan(away) | 0-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Cirbonero(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Avance Ezcabarte(away) | 1-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Valle Egüés(home) | 0-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Txantrea(away) | 1-5 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Gazte Berriak(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Izarra(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Huarte(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Cortes(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Cantolagua win, 3 draws, 2 Pamplona wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2025 | Cantolagua 3-3 Pamplona | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Jan 11, 2025 | Pamplona 1-0 Cantolagua | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| May 5, 2024 | Pamplona 1-0 Cantolagua | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Jan 14, 2024 | Cantolagua 3-1 Pamplona | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Feb 26, 2023 | Cantolagua 2-2 Pamplona | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Oct 29, 2022 | Pamplona 0-0 Cantolagua | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
Last archived meeting: Cantolagua vs Pamplona on May 10, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Cantolagua score 0.9 and concede 2.4 goals per match over their last 15; Pamplona score 1.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cantolagua | 0.9 | 2.4 | 2 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
| Pamplona | 1.1 | 1.1 | 5 | 9/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Cantolagua sit 16th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 (6 points from 8 matches) and Pamplona sit 15th (7 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Pamplona | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 7 |
| 16 | Cantolagua | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 20 | 6 |
A question about Cantolagua vs Pamplona?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Cantolagua vs Pamplona?
- The Footlab AI model makes Pamplona the favourite at 52%, against 26% for a draw and 22% for Cantolagua.
- Where and when is Cantolagua vs Pamplona played?
- Cantolagua vs Pamplona is played on May 2, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Cantolagua, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 15.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.