Where and when is Bigaspor vs Karsiyaka played?

Bigaspor vs Karsiyaka is played on March 13, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Biga İlyas Bayram Stadyumu, in the 3. Lig - Group 2.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Bigaspor vs Karsiyaka: prediction and stats

3. Lig - Group 23. Lig Group 2 - 27Kick-off on March 13, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Biga İlyas Bayram Stadyumu, Biga

Bigaspor

Karsiyaka

The Footlab model makes Karsiyaka the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Bigaspor. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Bigaspor vs Karsiyaka?

Karsiyaka starts as the favourite with a 167-point Elo edge (1,715 vs 1,547).

Bigaspor win34 %

Draw28 %

Karsiyaka win38 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 9 matches in all competitions, Bigaspor have 2 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Karsiyaka have 9, 4 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Bigaspor
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Nov 1, 2023	Etimesgut SK(away)	0-1	Türkiye Kupası
Oct 12, 2023	Karsiyaka(away)	1-0	Türkiye Kupası
Sep 27, 2023	Bilecik 1969 Spor(home)	0-0	Türkiye Kupası
Sep 17, 2023	Sökespor(away)	0-0	Türkiye Kupası
Sep 29, 2022	Menemen FK(away)	2-3	Türkiye Kupası

Karsiyaka
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Apr 28, 2026	Ayvalikgucu(home)	0-2	3. Lig - Play-offs
Apr 24, 2026	Ayvalikgucu(away)	0-0	3. Lig - Play-offs
Apr 18, 2026	Tire 2021 FK(away)	1-1	3. Lig - Group 4
Apr 12, 2026	Söke 1970(home)	5-0	3. Lig - Group 4
Apr 5, 2026	Bornova 1877(away)	5-0	3. Lig - Group 4

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Bigaspor win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Karsiyaka win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Oct 12, 2023	Karsiyaka 0-1 Bigaspor	Türkiye Kupası

Last archived meeting: Karsiyaka vs Bigaspor on Oct 12, 2023

How many goals should we expect?

Bigaspor score 0.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 9; Karsiyaka score 2.7 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Bigaspor	0.7	1.1	5	3/9	3/9
Karsiyaka	2.7	0.7	7	7/15	9/15

Over the last 9 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Bigaspor vs Karsiyaka?: The Footlab model makes Karsiyaka the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Bigaspor.
Where and when is Bigaspor vs Karsiyaka played?: Bigaspor vs Karsiyaka is played on March 13, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Biga İlyas Bayram Stadyumu, in the 3. Lig - Group 2.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.