Match

Bigaspor vs Karsiyaka: prediction and stats

3. Lig - Group 23. Lig Group 2 - 27Kick-off on March 13, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Biga İlyas Bayram Stadyumu, Biga

BigasporKarsiyaka

The Footlab AI model makes Karsiyaka the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for Bigaspor. The most likely score is 1-1. If Karsiyaka wins, the most likely score is 0-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 5,443 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 12, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Bigaspor vs Karsiyaka?

Karsiyaka starts as the favourite with a 173-point Elo edge (1,746 vs 1,573).

29%27%44%
Bigaspor winDrawKarsiyaka win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Bigaspor vs Karsiyaka

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Bigaspor

4-3-3
  1. 9Arif Arslan
  2. 10A. Akar
  3. 11F. Cinkaya
  1. 26Volkan Can
  2. 53Adem Yılmaz
  3. 88A. Çoban
  1. 35E. Ergün
  2. 4G. Yazar
  3. 6E. Duman
  4. 22O. Kanmaz
  1. 41M. Ustabaş

Karsiyaka

Not enough data to predict the Karsiyaka lineup.

Computed on November 12, 2026 at 12:30 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bigaspor have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Karsiyaka have 8, 4 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Bigaspor
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 11, 2026Altay(home)2-03. Lig - Group 2
Nov 7, 2026Karsiyaka(away)0-23. Lig - Group 2
Nov 1, 2026Etimesgut SK(home)1-03. Lig - Group 2
Oct 24, 2026Denizli İYG(away)0-23. Lig - Group 2
Oct 18, 2026Akşehirspor(home)2-03. Lig - Group 2
Karsiyaka
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 11, 2026Nilüfer Belediye(home)2-13. Lig - Group 2
Nov 7, 2026Bigaspor(home)2-03. Lig - Group 2
Nov 1, 2026Denizli İYG(away)6-03. Lig - Group 2
Oct 27, 2026Boluspor(away)3-1Türkiye Kupası
Oct 24, 2026Söke 1970(home)2-13. Lig - Group 2

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Bigaspor win, 0 draws, 1 Karsiyaka win.

DateScoreCompetition
Nov 7, 2026Karsiyaka 2-0 Bigaspor3. Lig - Group 2
Oct 12, 2023Karsiyaka 0-1 BigasporTürkiye Kupası

Last archived meeting: Karsiyaka vs Bigaspor on Nov 7, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Bigaspor score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Karsiyaka score 1.5 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Bigaspor1.31.165/156/15
Karsiyaka1.50.766/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Bigaspor sit 7th in 3. Lig - Group 2 (20 points from 11 matches) and Karsiyaka sit 9th (18 points from 10 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
7Bigaspor11623181320
9Karsiyaka1053215618

A question about Bigaspor vs Karsiyaka?

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Bigaspor vs Karsiyaka?
The Footlab AI model makes Karsiyaka the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for Bigaspor.
Where and when is Bigaspor vs Karsiyaka played?
Bigaspor vs Karsiyaka is played on March 13, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Biga İlyas Bayram Stadyumu, in the 3. Lig - Group 2.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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