Where and when is Nilüfer Belediye vs Karsiyaka played?

Nilüfer Belediye vs Karsiyaka is played on March 17, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at İbrahim Yazıcı Stadyumu, in the 3. Lig - Group 2.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Nilüfer Belediye vs Karsiyaka: prediction and stats

3. Lig - Group 23. Lig Group 2 - 28Kick-off on March 17, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)İbrahim Yazıcı Stadyumu, Bursa

Nilüfer Belediye

Karsiyaka

The Footlab model makes Karsiyaka the favourite at 44%, against 28% for a draw and 29% for Nilüfer Belediye. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Nilüfer Belediye vs Karsiyaka?

Karsiyaka starts as the favourite with a 169-point Elo edge (1,725 vs 1,556).

Nilüfer Belediye win29 %

Draw28 %

Karsiyaka win44 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nilüfer Belediye have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Karsiyaka have 9, 4 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Nilüfer Belediye
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Apr 18, 2026	Kestel Çilek(home)	3-1	3. Lig - Group 1
Apr 12, 2026	Silivrispor(away)	2-1	3. Lig - Group 1
Apr 5, 2026	Kartal Bulvarspor(home)	2-1	3. Lig - Group 1
Mar 28, 2026	Küçükçekmece Sinopspor(away)	0-3	3. Lig - Group 1
Mar 24, 2026	Yalova Yeşilovaspor(home)	3-2	3. Lig - Group 1

Karsiyaka
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Apr 28, 2026	Ayvalikgucu(home)	0-2	3. Lig - Play-offs
Apr 24, 2026	Ayvalikgucu(away)	0-0	3. Lig - Play-offs
Apr 18, 2026	Tire 2021 FK(away)	1-1	3. Lig - Group 4
Apr 12, 2026	Söke 1970(home)	5-0	3. Lig - Group 4
Apr 5, 2026	Bornova 1877(away)	5-0	3. Lig - Group 4

How many goals should we expect?

Nilüfer Belediye score 1.5 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Karsiyaka score 2.7 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Nilüfer Belediye	1.5	1.4	3	10/15	11/15
Karsiyaka	2.7	0.7	7	7/15	9/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Nilüfer Belediye vs Karsiyaka?: The Footlab model makes Karsiyaka the favourite at 44%, against 28% for a draw and 29% for Nilüfer Belediye.
Where and when is Nilüfer Belediye vs Karsiyaka played?: Nilüfer Belediye vs Karsiyaka is played on March 17, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at İbrahim Yazıcı Stadyumu, in the 3. Lig - Group 2.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.