Match

Altay vs Bigaspor: prediction and stats

3. Lig - Group 23. Lig Group 2 - 28Kick-off on March 17, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Alsancak Mustafa Denizli Stadı, İzmir

AltayBigaspor

The Footlab model makes Altay the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Bigaspor. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Altay vs Bigaspor?

A very open match: only 62 Elo points separate Altay (1,496) and Bigaspor (1,558).

Altay win40 %
Draw28 %
Bigaspor win32 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Altay have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Bigaspor have 2, 3 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Altay
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Apr 18, 2026Afjet Afyonspor(home)2-03. Lig - Group 4
Apr 5, 2026İzmir Çoruhlu FK(home)1-13. Lig - Group 4
Mar 29, 2026Anadolu Üniversitesi(away)0-33. Lig - Group 4
Mar 25, 2026Alanya 1221 FK(home)0-03. Lig - Group 4
Mar 15, 2026Balıkesirspor(away)0-33. Lig - Group 4
Bigaspor
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 1, 2023Etimesgut SK(away)0-1Türkiye Kupası
Oct 12, 2023Karsiyaka(away)1-0Türkiye Kupası
Sep 27, 2023Bilecik 1969 Spor(home)0-0Türkiye Kupası
Sep 17, 2023Sökespor(away)0-0Türkiye Kupası
Sep 29, 2022Menemen FK(away)2-3Türkiye Kupası

How many goals should we expect?

Altay score 0.8 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Bigaspor score 0.7 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Altay0.81.746/158/15
Bigaspor0.71.153/93/9

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Altay vs Bigaspor?
The Footlab model makes Altay the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Bigaspor.
Where and when is Altay vs Bigaspor played?
Altay vs Bigaspor is played on March 17, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Alsancak Mustafa Denizli Stadı, in the 3. Lig - Group 2.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Altay and Bigaspor

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