Bilje vs Dren Vrhnika: prediction and stats
2. SNLRegular Season - 14Kick-off on November 8, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadion V dolinci, Renče
The Footlab model makes Dren Vrhnika the favourite at 46%, against 26% for a draw and 28% for Bilje. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bilje vs Dren Vrhnika?
Dren Vrhnika starts as the favourite with a 127-point Elo edge (1,608 vs 1,481).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bilje have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Dren Vrhnika have 11, 1 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Bistrica(home) | 1-4 | 2. SNL |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Dravinja(away) | 3-1 | 2. SNL |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Brežice(home) | 2-1 | 2. SNL |
| May 22, 2026 | Brinje-Grosuplje(home) | 0-1 | 2. SNL |
| May 16, 2026 | Beltinci(away) | 3-1 | 2. SNL |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Dravinja(home) | 2-0 | 2. SNL |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Brežice(away) | 2-1 | 2. SNL |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Triglav(home) | 0-1 | 2. SNL |
| May 23, 2026 | Rudar Trbovlje(away) | 4-1 | 3. SNL - West |
| May 16, 2026 | Šencur(home) | 2-3 | 3. SNL - West |
How many goals should we expect?
Bilje score 1.2 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Dren Vrhnika score 2.8 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bilje | 1.2 | 1.3 | 2 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Dren Vrhnika | 2.8 | 0.9 | 6 | 8/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bilje sit 5th in 2. SNL (6 points from 3 matches) and Dren Vrhnika sit 4th (6 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Dren Vrhnika | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| 5 | Bilje | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bilje vs Dren Vrhnika?
- The Footlab model makes Dren Vrhnika the favourite at 46%, against 26% for a draw and 28% for Bilje.
- Where and when is Bilje vs Dren Vrhnika played?
- Bilje vs Dren Vrhnika is played on November 8, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion V dolinci, in the 2. SNL.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.