Ilirija vs Triglav: prediction and stats
2. SNLRegular Season - 14Kick-off on November 8, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Športni park Ilirija, Ljubljana
The Footlab AI model makes Triglav the favourite at 59%, against 23% for a draw and 18% for Ilirija. The most likely score is 1-1. If Triglav wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,449 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ilirija vs Triglav?
Triglav starts as the favourite with a 267-point Elo edge (1,741 vs 1,474).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Ilirija vs Triglav
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Ilirija
Not enough data to predict the Ilirija lineup.
Triglav
Not enough data to predict the Triglav lineup.
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 05:17 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ilirija have 6 wins, 1 draw and 8 defeats; Triglav have 10, 2 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Krka(home) | 2-1 | 2. SNL |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Beltinci(home) | 2-4 | 2. SNL |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Dekani(away) | 0-1 | 2. SNL |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Krško(home) | 2-0 | 2. SNL |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Jesenice(away) | 1-3 | 2. SNL |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Krško(away) | 2-0 | 2. SNL |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Jesenice(home) | 4-0 | 2. SNL |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Primorje(home) | 1-1 | 2. SNL |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Slovan Ljubljana(home) | 3-0 | 2. SNL |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Brežice(home) | 4-0 | 2. SNL |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Ilirija wins, 3 draws, 3 Triglav wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | Triglav 1-1 Ilirija | 2. SNL |
| Sep 3, 2025 | Ilirija 0-2 Triglav | 2. SNL |
| Nov 26, 2024 | Triglav 1-0 Ilirija | 2. SNL |
| Aug 9, 2024 | Ilirija 2-2 Triglav | 2. SNL |
| Mar 29, 2024 | Ilirija 1-2 Triglav | 2. SNL |
| Sep 15, 2023 | Triglav 0-0 Ilirija | 2. SNL |
How many goals should we expect?
Ilirija score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Triglav score 1.8 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ilirija | 1.3 | 1.3 | 6 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Triglav | 1.8 | 0.7 | 9 | 3/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ilirija sit 5th in 2. SNL (16 points from 10 matches) and Triglav sit 3rd (19 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Triglav | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 5 | 19 |
| 5 | Ilirija | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 11 | 16 |
A question about Ilirija vs Triglav?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ilirija vs Triglav?
- The Footlab AI model makes Triglav the favourite at 59%, against 23% for a draw and 18% for Ilirija.
- Where and when is Ilirija vs Triglav played?
- Ilirija vs Triglav is played on November 8, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Športni park Ilirija, in the 2. SNL.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.