Bilje vs Jesenice: prediction and stats
2. SNLRegular Season - 7Kick-off on September 20, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion V dolinci, Renče
The Footlab model makes Bilje the favourite at 57%, against 24% for a draw and 19% for Jesenice. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bilje vs Jesenice?
A very open match: only 86 Elo points separate Bilje (1,481) and Jesenice (1,395).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bilje have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Jesenice have 2, 3 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Bistrica(home) | 1-4 | 2. SNL |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Dravinja(away) | 3-1 | 2. SNL |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Brežice(home) | 2-1 | 2. SNL |
| May 22, 2026 | Brinje-Grosuplje(home) | 0-1 | 2. SNL |
| May 16, 2026 | Beltinci(away) | 3-1 | 2. SNL |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Dekani(away) | 2-0 | 2. SNL |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Krško(home) | 1-1 | 2. SNL |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Tabor Sežana(home) | 0-3 | 2. SNL |
| May 23, 2026 | Dravinja(home) | 0-1 | 2. SNL |
| May 15, 2026 | Krka(away) | 2-3 | 2. SNL |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Bilje win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Jesenice win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2026 | Bilje 2-0 Jesenice | 2. SNL |
| Sep 28, 2025 | Jesenice 1-2 Bilje | 2. SNL |
How many goals should we expect?
Bilje score 1.2 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Jesenice score 0.7 and concede 2.2. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bilje | 1.2 | 1.3 | 2 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Jesenice | 0.7 | 2.2 | 1 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bilje sit 5th in 2. SNL (6 points from 3 matches) and Jesenice sit 7th (4 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Bilje | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 6 |
| 7 | Jesenice | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bilje vs Jesenice?
- The Footlab model makes Bilje the favourite at 57%, against 24% for a draw and 19% for Jesenice.
- Where and when is Bilje vs Jesenice played?
- Bilje vs Jesenice is played on September 20, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion V dolinci, in the 2. SNL.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.