Ilirija vs Krško: prediction and stats
2. SNLRegular Season - 7Kick-off on September 20, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Športni park Ilirija, Ljubljana
The Footlab model makes Ilirija the favourite at 68%, against 20% for a draw and 12% for Krško. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ilirija vs Krško?
Ilirija starts as the favourite with a 127-point Elo edge (1,498 vs 1,371).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ilirija have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Krško have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Rudar(home) | 2-0 | 2. SNL |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Bistrica(away) | 6-0 | 2. SNL |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Dravinja(home) | 1-0 | 2. SNL |
| May 22, 2026 | Beltinci(home) | 1-3 | 2. SNL |
| May 15, 2026 | Gorica(away) | 0-1 | 2. SNL |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Tabor Sežana(home) | 0-6 | 2. SNL |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Jesenice(away) | 1-1 | 2. SNL |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Primorje(home) | 2-1 | 2. SNL |
| May 23, 2026 | Gorica(home) | 2-0 | 2. SNL |
| May 16, 2026 | Dravinja(away) | 1-2 | 2. SNL |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Ilirija win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Krško win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 22, 2025 | Ilirija 1-0 Krško | 2. SNL |
| Aug 10, 2025 | Krško 3-1 Ilirija | 2. SNL |
| May 13, 2023 | Ilirija 3-1 Krško | 2. SNL |
| Oct 31, 2022 | Krško 0-4 Ilirija | 2. SNL |
| Mar 5, 2022 | Ilirija 2-0 Krško | 2. SNL |
| Aug 21, 2021 | Krško 0-2 Ilirija | 2. SNL |
How many goals should we expect?
Ilirija score 1.6 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Krško score 0.9 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ilirija | 1.6 | 1.2 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Krško | 0.9 | 2.1 | 2 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ilirija sit 2nd in 2. SNL (9 points from 3 matches) and Krško sit 9th (4 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Ilirija | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 9 |
| 9 | Krško | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ilirija vs Krško?
- The Footlab model makes Ilirija the favourite at 68%, against 20% for a draw and 12% for Krško.
- Where and when is Ilirija vs Krško played?
- Ilirija vs Krško is played on September 20, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Športni park Ilirija, in the 2. SNL.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.