Match

Birmingham Legion vs Brooklyn: prediction and stats

USL ChampionshipGroup StageKick-off on September 23, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Protective Stadium, Birmingham, Alabama

Birmingham LegionBrooklyn

The Footlab model makes Birmingham Legion the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for Brooklyn. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Birmingham Legion vs Brooklyn?

A very open match: only 16 Elo points separate Birmingham Legion (1,686) and Brooklyn (1,670).

Birmingham Legion win47 %
Draw26 %
Brooklyn win27 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Birmingham Legion have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; Brooklyn have 2, 4 and 9.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Birmingham Legion
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Sporting JAX(home)2-3USL Championship
Aug 16, 2026Colorado Springs(away)2-3USL Championship
Aug 2, 2026Rhode Island(home)1-0USL Championship
Jul 29, 2026Louisville City(away)1-2USL Championship
Jul 12, 2026FC Tulsa(home)3-1USL League One Cup
Brooklyn
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Pittsburgh Riverhounds(home)0-1USL Championship
Aug 16, 2026Las Vegas Lights(away)1-2USL Championship
Aug 1, 2026Charleston Battery(away)0-5USL Championship
Jul 25, 2026San Antonio(home)0-1USL Championship
Jul 18, 2026Sporting JAX(away)2-2USL Championship

How many goals should we expect?

Birmingham Legion score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Brooklyn score 1.2 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Birmingham Legion1.31.3311/157/15
Brooklyn1.21.918/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Birmingham Legion sit 10th in USL Championship (12 points from 12 matches) and Brooklyn sit 11th (9 points from 12 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
10Birmingham Legion12264131512
11Birmingham Legion19388222717
11Brooklyn1223713229
12Brooklyn193412183513

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Birmingham Legion vs Brooklyn?
The Footlab model makes Birmingham Legion the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for Brooklyn.
Where and when is Birmingham Legion vs Brooklyn played?
Birmingham Legion vs Brooklyn is played on September 23, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Protective Stadium, in the USL Championship.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Birmingham Legion and Brooklyn

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