Birmingham Legion vs Brooklyn: prediction and stats
USL ChampionshipGroup StageKick-off on September 23, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Protective Stadium, Birmingham, Alabama
The Footlab model makes Birmingham Legion the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for Brooklyn. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Birmingham Legion vs Brooklyn?
A very open match: only 16 Elo points separate Birmingham Legion (1,686) and Brooklyn (1,670).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Birmingham Legion have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; Brooklyn have 2, 4 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Sporting JAX(home) | 2-3 | USL Championship |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Colorado Springs(away) | 2-3 | USL Championship |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Rhode Island(home) | 1-0 | USL Championship |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Louisville City(away) | 1-2 | USL Championship |
| Jul 12, 2026 | FC Tulsa(home) | 3-1 | USL League One Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds(home) | 0-1 | USL Championship |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Las Vegas Lights(away) | 1-2 | USL Championship |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Charleston Battery(away) | 0-5 | USL Championship |
| Jul 25, 2026 | San Antonio(home) | 0-1 | USL Championship |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Sporting JAX(away) | 2-2 | USL Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Birmingham Legion score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Brooklyn score 1.2 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Birmingham Legion | 1.3 | 1.3 | 3 | 11/15 | 7/15 |
| Brooklyn | 1.2 | 1.9 | 1 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Birmingham Legion sit 10th in USL Championship (12 points from 12 matches) and Brooklyn sit 11th (9 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Birmingham Legion | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 13 | 15 | 12 |
| 11 | Birmingham Legion | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 22 | 27 | 17 |
| 11 | Brooklyn | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 22 | 9 |
| 12 | Brooklyn | 19 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 18 | 35 | 13 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Birmingham Legion vs Brooklyn?
- The Footlab model makes Birmingham Legion the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for Brooklyn.
- Where and when is Birmingham Legion vs Brooklyn played?
- Birmingham Legion vs Brooklyn is played on September 23, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Protective Stadium, in the USL Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 7, 2026Lexington1-2Louisville City
- Mar 7, 2026Charleston Battery2-1Pittsburgh Riverhounds
- Mar 8, 2026Sporting JAX0-3Hartford Athletic
- Mar 8, 2026Birmingham Legion0-1Tampa Bay Rowdies
- Mar 8, 2026San Antonio2-1Phoenix Rising
- Mar 8, 2026El Paso Locomotive2-2Colorado Springs
- Mar 8, 2026Sacramento Republic2-0FC Tulsa
- Mar 8, 2026Monterey Bay0-1Oakland Roots