Birmingham vs Derby: result 3-3 and analysis
ChampionshipRegular Season - 29Kick-off on February 1, 2014 at 03:00 PM (UTC)St Andrew's Stadium, Birmingham
Full time
What was the result of Birmingham vs Derby?
Birmingham and Derby drew 3-3 on February 1, 2014.
Goalscorers
- 48′B. HowardBirmingham
- 49′P. BamfordDerby
- 59′C. MartinDerby
- 73′C. ForsythDerby
- 78′Christopher Robert BurkeBirmingham
- 90′F. MachedaBirmingham
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Birmingham have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Derby have 10, 2 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 28, 2014 | Leicester(home) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Jan 25, 2014 | Swansea(home) | 1-2 | FA Cup |
| Jan 18, 2014 | Yeovil Town(home) | 0-2 | Championship |
| Jan 14, 2014 | Bristol Rovers(home) | 3-0 | FA Cup |
| Jan 11, 2014 | Brighton(away) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 28, 2014 | Yeovil Town(home) | 3-2 | Championship |
| Jan 25, 2014 | Blackburn(away) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Jan 18, 2014 | Brighton(home) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Jan 10, 2014 | Leicester(away) | 1-4 | Championship |
| Jan 5, 2014 | Chelsea(home) | 0-2 | FA Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 1 Birmingham win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Derby win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 26, 2013 | Derby 1-1 Birmingham | Championship |
| Mar 9, 2013 | Birmingham 3-1 Derby | Championship |
| Nov 24, 2012 | Derby 3-2 Birmingham | Championship |
| Mar 3, 2012 | Birmingham 2-2 Derby | Championship |
| Aug 6, 2011 | Derby 2-1 Birmingham | Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Birmingham score 1.4 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Derby score 1.9 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Birmingham | 1.4 | 1.0 | 5 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Derby | 1.9 | 1.1 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Birmingham sit 13th in Championship (2 points from 2 matches) and Derby sit 16th (1 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Birmingham | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| 16 | Derby | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy