Derby vs Birmingham: result 1-1 and analysis
ChampionshipRegular Season - 13Kick-off on October 26, 2013 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Pride Park Stadium, Derby
Full time
What was the result of Derby vs Birmingham?
Derby and Birmingham drew 1-1 on October 26, 2013.
Goalscorers
- 39′Jamie John WardDerby
- 66′Lee NovakBirmingham
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Derby have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Birmingham have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19, 2013 | Watford(away) | 3-2 | Championship |
| Oct 5, 2013 | Leeds(home) | 3-1 | Championship |
| Oct 1, 2013 | Ipswich(home) | 4-4 | Championship |
| Sep 28, 2013 | Nottingham Forest(away) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Sep 24, 2013 | Leicester(away) | 1-2 | League Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20, 2013 | Leeds(away) | 0-4 | Championship |
| Oct 5, 2013 | Bolton(home) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Oct 1, 2013 | Millwall(home) | 4-0 | Championship |
| Sep 28, 2013 | Reading(away) | 0-2 | Championship |
| Sep 25, 2013 | Swansea(home) | 3-1 | League Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Derby win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Birmingham win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2013 | Birmingham 3-1 Derby | Championship |
| Nov 24, 2012 | Derby 3-2 Birmingham | Championship |
| Mar 3, 2012 | Birmingham 2-2 Derby | Championship |
| Aug 6, 2011 | Derby 2-1 Birmingham | Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Derby score 2.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Birmingham score 1.6 and concede 1.8.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derby | 2.1 | 1.5 | 3 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| Birmingham | 1.6 | 1.8 | 2 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Derby sit 16th in Championship (1 points from 2 matches) and Birmingham sit 13th (2 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Birmingham | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| 16 | Derby | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy