Birmingham vs Derby: result 3-1 and analysis
ChampionshipRegular Season - 37Kick-off on March 9, 2013 at 03:00 PM (UTC)St Andrew's Stadium, Birmingham
Full time
What was the result of Birmingham vs Derby?
Birmingham won 3-1 on March 9, 2013.
Goalscorers
- 40′Ben DaviesDerby
- 67′Wes ThomasBirmingham
- 75′N. RedmondBirmingham
- 90′Wes ThomasBirmingham
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Birmingham have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Derby have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2013 | Blackpool(home) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Mar 2, 2013 | Hull City(away) | 2-5 | Championship |
| Feb 23, 2013 | Peterborough(away) | 2-0 | Championship |
| Feb 19, 2013 | Sheffield Wednesday(home) | 0-0 | Championship |
| Feb 16, 2013 | Watford(home) | 0-4 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2013 | Cardiff(away) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Mar 1, 2013 | Crystal Palace(home) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Feb 23, 2013 | Watford(away) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Feb 19, 2013 | Bolton(home) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Feb 16, 2013 | Wolves(home) | 0-0 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Birmingham win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Derby win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 24, 2012 | Derby 3-2 Birmingham | Championship |
| Mar 3, 2012 | Birmingham 2-2 Derby | Championship |
| Aug 6, 2011 | Derby 2-1 Birmingham | Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Birmingham score 1.2 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Derby score 1.3 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Birmingham | 1.2 | 1.6 | 2 | 11/15 | 8/15 |
| Derby | 1.3 | 1.3 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Birmingham sit 13th in Championship (2 points from 2 matches) and Derby sit 16th (1 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Birmingham | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| 16 | Derby | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy