Birmingham vs Norwich: prediction and stats
ChampionshipRegular Season - 41Kick-off on April 7, 2027 at 06:45 PM (UTC)St Andrew's Stadium, Birmingham
The Footlab model makes Birmingham the favourite at 39%, against 28% for a draw and 33% for Norwich. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Birmingham vs Norwich?
A very open match: only 15 Elo points separate Birmingham (1,920) and Norwich (1,905).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Birmingham have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Norwich have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Bristol City(home) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Sheffield Utd(away) | 0-0 | Championship |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Swansea(away) | 1-0 | League Cup |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Barcelona(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Crewe(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Millwall(away) | 0-3 | Championship |
| Aug 15, 2026 | West Brom(home) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Milton Keynes Dons(home) | 4-1 | League Cup |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Cambridge United(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Osasuna(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Birmingham win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Norwich win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2026 | Norwich 1-2 Birmingham | Championship |
| Nov 22, 2025 | Birmingham 4-1 Norwich | Championship |
| May 4, 2024 | Birmingham 1-0 Norwich | Championship |
| Sep 30, 2023 | Norwich 2-0 Birmingham | Championship |
| Feb 21, 2023 | Norwich 3-1 Birmingham | Championship |
| Aug 30, 2022 | Birmingham 1-2 Norwich | Championship |
Last archived meeting: Norwich vs Birmingham on Feb 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Birmingham score 1.4 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Norwich score 1.4 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Birmingham | 1.4 | 1.0 | 5 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Norwich | 1.4 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Birmingham sit 13th in Championship (2 points from 2 matches) and Norwich sit 23rd (0 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Birmingham | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| 23 | Norwich | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Birmingham vs Norwich?
- The Footlab model makes Birmingham the favourite at 39%, against 28% for a draw and 33% for Norwich.
- Where and when is Birmingham vs Norwich played?
- Birmingham vs Norwich is played on April 7, 2027 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at St Andrew's Stadium, in the Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.