Swansea vs Southampton: prediction and stats
ChampionshipRegular Season - 41Kick-off on April 6, 2027 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Swansea.com Stadium, Swansea
The Footlab AI model makes Southampton the favourite at 45%, against 26% for a draw and 29% for Swansea. The most likely score is 1-1. If Southampton wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 4,714 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 7, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Swansea vs Southampton?
A very open match: only 86 Elo points separate Swansea (1,947) and Southampton (2,033).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Swansea vs Southampton
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Swansea
4-3-3- 30Joseph Okopu
- 7M. Widell
- 33A. Idah
- 4J. Fulton
- 6M. Stamenić
- 17Gonçalo Franco
- 14J. Tymon
- 23S. Welsh
- 26F. Lissah
- 5B. Cabango
- 22L. Vigouroux
Southampton
4-2-3-1- 11L. Dobbin
- 30J. Ward-Prowse
- 10F. Azaz
- 27K. Matsuki
- 7Léo Scienza
- 4F. Downes
- 13K. Schlotterbeck
- 5J. Stephens
- 14J. Bree
- 3R. Manning
- 1Daniel Peretz
Computed on November 7, 2026 at 12:45 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Swansea have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Southampton have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2026 | Portsmouth(away) | 1-3 | Championship |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Blackburn(home) | 4-0 | Championship |
| Oct 24, 2026 | QPR(away) | 0-5 | Championship |
| Oct 17, 2026 | West Ham(home) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Millwall(away) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2026 | West Brom(away) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Oct 31, 2026 | QPR(home) | 4-1 | Championship |
| Oct 24, 2026 | West Ham(away) | 3-2 | Championship |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Bolton(home) | 0-0 | Championship |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Norwich(away) | 1-0 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Swansea wins, 1 draw, 5 Southampton wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 8, 2026 | Southampton 3-1 Swansea | Championship |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Swansea 1-2 Southampton | Championship |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Southampton 0-0 Swansea | Championship |
| Jan 12, 2025 | Southampton 3-0 Swansea | FA Cup |
| Jan 20, 2024 | Swansea 1-3 Southampton | Championship |
| Dec 26, 2023 | Southampton 5-0 Swansea | Championship |
Last archived meeting: Southampton vs Swansea on Sep 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Swansea score 1.4 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Southampton score 2.0 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Swansea | 1.4 | 1.1 | 6 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
| Southampton | 2.0 | 1.2 | 3 | 12/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Swansea sit 5th in Championship (26 points from 14 matches) and Southampton sit 7th (24 points from 14 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Swansea | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 21 | 16 | 26 |
| 7 | Southampton | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 29 | 14 | 24 |
A question about Swansea vs Southampton?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Swansea vs Southampton?
- The Footlab AI model makes Southampton the favourite at 45%, against 26% for a draw and 29% for Swansea.
- Where and when is Swansea vs Southampton played?
- Swansea vs Southampton is played on April 6, 2027 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at Swansea.com Stadium, in the Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.