Stoke City vs Cardiff: prediction and stats
ChampionshipRegular Season - 41Kick-off on April 6, 2027 at 06:45 PM (UTC)bet365 Stadium, Stoke-on-Trent, Staffordshire
The Footlab AI model makes Cardiff the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Stoke City. The most likely score is 1-1. If Cardiff wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.5% of the 2,615 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 17, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Stoke City vs Cardiff?
Cardiff starts as the favourite with a 114-point Elo edge (2,016 vs 1,902).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Stoke City vs Cardiff
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Stoke City
3-4-3- 7J. McGlynn
- 11L. Cissé
- 13J. Devenny
- 2B. Johnson
- 8E. Galbraith
- 27El Hadji Djibril Soumaré
- 17E. Bocat
- 16B. Wilmot
- 5L. Graham
- 18B. Lawal
- 1V. Johansson
Cardiff
4-2-3-1- 8J. Moylan
- 18A. Robertson
- 11O. Tanner
- 27J. Colwill
- 45Cian Ashford
- 16C. Willock
- 3J. Bagan
- 4G. Osho
- 38P. Ng
- 5K. Bielik
- 1N. Trott
Computed on October 17, 2026 at 09:59 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Stoke City have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Cardiff have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Derby(away) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Middlesbrough(home) | 2-3 | Championship |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Bolton(away) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Sheffield Utd(home) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Watford(away) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Middlesbrough(away) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Watford(home) | 5-1 | Championship |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Blackburn(away) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Charlton(home) | 3-1 | Championship |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Bolton(away) | 0-1 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Stoke City win, 4 draws, 1 Cardiff win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 8, 2026 | Cardiff 1-1 Stoke City | Championship |
| Apr 12, 2025 | Cardiff 0-1 Stoke City | Championship |
| Feb 8, 2025 | Stoke City 3-3 Cardiff | FA Cup |
| Dec 14, 2024 | Stoke City 2-2 Cardiff | Championship |
| Feb 24, 2024 | Cardiff 2-1 Stoke City | Championship |
| Nov 4, 2023 | Stoke City 0-0 Cardiff | Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Stoke City score 1.5 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Cardiff score 2.1 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stoke City | 1.5 | 1.2 | 5 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| Cardiff | 2.1 | 1.5 | 0 | 13/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Stoke City sit 6th in Championship (19 points from 11 matches) and Cardiff sit 19th (11 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Stoke City | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 16 | 19 |
| 19 | Cardiff | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 17 | 11 |
A question about Stoke City vs Cardiff?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Stoke City vs Cardiff?
- The Footlab AI model makes Cardiff the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Stoke City.
- Where and when is Stoke City vs Cardiff played?
- Stoke City vs Cardiff is played on April 6, 2027 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at bet365 Stadium, in the Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.5% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.