Birmingham vs Swansea: prediction and stats
ChampionshipRegular Season - 15Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)St Andrew's Stadium, Birmingham
The Footlab AI model makes Birmingham the favourite at 53%, against 25% for a draw and 22% for Swansea. The most likely score is 1-1. If Birmingham wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,474 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 4, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Birmingham vs Swansea?
On Elo ratings, Birmingham has 1,966 points and Swansea 1,929.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Birmingham vs Swansea
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Birmingham
4-2-3-1- 9A. Priske
- 24T. Iwata
- 17L. Millar
- 28J. Stansfield
- 14J. Solis
- 16P. Roberts
- 5P. Neumann
- 4C. Klarer
- 20A. Cochrane
- 2E. Laird
- 1J. Beadle
Swansea
4-3-3- 30Joseph Okopu
- 7M. Widell
- 33A. Idah
- 4J. Fulton
- 6M. Stamenić
- 17Gonçalo Franco
- 14J. Tymon
- 23S. Welsh
- 26F. Lissah
- 5B. Cabango
- 22L. Vigouroux
Computed on November 4, 2026 at 03:35 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Birmingham have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Swansea have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2026 | Millwall(home) | 3-0 | Championship |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Lincoln(away) | 3-1 | Championship |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Cardiff(away) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Oct 17, 2026 | QPR(home) | 3-0 | Championship |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Preston(home) | 4-0 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2026 | Portsmouth(away) | 1-3 | Championship |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Blackburn(home) | 4-0 | Championship |
| Oct 24, 2026 | QPR(away) | 0-5 | Championship |
| Oct 17, 2026 | West Ham(home) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Millwall(away) | 1-0 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Birmingham wins, 3 draws, 0 Swansea wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Swansea 0-1 Birmingham | League Cup |
| Jan 17, 2026 | Swansea 1-1 Birmingham | Championship |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Birmingham 1-0 Swansea | Championship |
| Jan 13, 2024 | Birmingham 2-2 Swansea | Championship |
| Aug 5, 2023 | Swansea 1-1 Birmingham | Championship |
| Feb 4, 2023 | Swansea 3-4 Birmingham | Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Birmingham score 1.8 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Swansea score 1.4 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Birmingham | 1.8 | 1.3 | 5 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| Swansea | 1.4 | 1.1 | 6 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Birmingham sit 2nd in Championship (26 points from 14 matches) and Swansea sit 4th (26 points from 14 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Birmingham | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 26 | 13 | 26 |
| 4 | Swansea | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 21 | 16 | 26 |
A question about Birmingham vs Swansea?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Birmingham vs Swansea?
- The Footlab AI model makes Birmingham the favourite at 53%, against 25% for a draw and 22% for Swansea.
- Where and when is Birmingham vs Swansea played?
- Birmingham vs Swansea is played on November 7, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at St Andrew's Stadium, in the Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.