BKV Előre vs Csepel: prediction and stats
NB III - SoutheastSoutheast - 20Kick-off on March 14, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)BKV Előre Stadion, Budapest
The Footlab model makes Csepel the favourite at 51%, against 23% for a draw and 26% for BKV Előre. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win BKV Előre vs Csepel?
Csepel starts as the favourite with a 152-point Elo edge (1,474 vs 1,322).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, BKV Előre have 3 wins, 1 draws and 11 defeats; Csepel have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Gyulai Termál(away) | 1-5 | Magyar Kupa |
| Aug 16, 2026 | ESMTK(home) | 0-3 | NB III - Southeast |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Gyulai Termál(home) | 2-4 | NB III - Southeast |
| Aug 9, 2026 | III. Kerületi TUE(away) | 0-2 | NB III - Southeast |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Újpest II(away) | 0-6 | NB III - Southeast |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Csepel UFC(away) | 3-0 | Magyar Kupa |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Hódmezővásárhely(away) | 1-1 | NB III - Southeast |
| Aug 12, 2026 | ESMTK(home) | 2-1 | NB III - Southeast |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Monori Se(away) | 0-0 | NB III - Southeast |
| Jul 25, 2026 | III. Kerületi TUE(away) | 0-2 | NB III - Southeast |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 BKV Előre win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Csepel win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 15, 2025 | Csepel 3-1 BKV Előre | NB III - Southeast |
| Jul 27, 2025 | BKV Előre 0-1 Csepel | NB III - Southeast |
| Jul 19, 2023 | Csepel 2-2 BKV Előre | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
BKV Előre score 1.5 and concede 2.7 goals per match over their last 15; Csepel score 1.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BKV Előre | 1.5 | 2.7 | 1 | 10/15 | 14/15 |
| Csepel | 1.7 | 1.5 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
BKV Előre sit 16th in NB III - Southeast (0 points from 4 matches) and Csepel sit 9th (5 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Csepel | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
| 16 | BKV Előre | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 15 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for BKV Előre vs Csepel?
- The Footlab model makes Csepel the favourite at 51%, against 23% for a draw and 26% for BKV Előre.
- Where and when is BKV Előre vs Csepel played?
- BKV Előre vs Csepel is played on March 14, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at BKV Előre Stadion, in the NB III - Southeast.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.