Csepel vs BKV Előre: prediction and stats
NB III - SoutheastSoutheast - 5Kick-off on August 26, 2026 at 03:30 PM (UTC)Béke téri Stadion, Budapest
The Footlab model makes Csepel the favourite at 64%, against 19% for a draw and 17% for BKV Előre. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Csepel vs BKV Előre?
Csepel starts as the favourite with a 152-point Elo edge (1,503 vs 1,351).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Csepel have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; BKV Előre have 3, 1 and 11.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Csepel UFC(away) | 3-0 | Magyar Kupa |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Hódmezővásárhely(away) | 1-1 | NB III - Southeast |
| Aug 12, 2026 | ESMTK(home) | 2-1 | NB III - Southeast |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Monori Se(away) | 0-0 | NB III - Southeast |
| Jul 25, 2026 | III. Kerületi TUE(away) | 0-2 | NB III - Southeast |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Gyulai Termál(away) | 1-5 | Magyar Kupa |
| Aug 16, 2026 | ESMTK(home) | 0-3 | NB III - Southeast |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Gyulai Termál(home) | 2-4 | NB III - Southeast |
| Aug 9, 2026 | III. Kerületi TUE(away) | 0-2 | NB III - Southeast |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Újpest II(away) | 0-6 | NB III - Southeast |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Csepel win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 BKV Előre win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 15, 2025 | Csepel 3-1 BKV Előre | NB III - Southeast |
| Jul 27, 2025 | BKV Előre 0-1 Csepel | NB III - Southeast |
| Jul 19, 2023 | Csepel 2-2 BKV Előre | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
Csepel score 1.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; BKV Előre score 1.5 and concede 2.7. The model gives a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Csepel | 1.7 | 1.5 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| BKV Előre | 1.5 | 2.7 | 1 | 10/15 | 14/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Csepel sit 9th in NB III - Southeast (5 points from 4 matches) and BKV Előre sit 16th (0 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Csepel | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
| 16 | BKV Előre | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 15 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Csepel vs BKV Előre?
- The Footlab model makes Csepel the favourite at 64%, against 19% for a draw and 17% for BKV Előre.
- Where and when is Csepel vs BKV Előre played?
- Csepel vs BKV Előre is played on August 26, 2026 at 03:30 PM (UTC) at Béke téri Stadion, in the NB III - Southeast.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.