Blejoi vs Flacăra Moreni: prediction and stats
Liga III - Serie 3Group 3 - 1Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stadionul Comunal, Blejoi
The Footlab model makes Flacăra Moreni the favourite at 43%, against 25% for a draw and 33% for Blejoi. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Blejoi vs Flacăra Moreni?
Flacăra Moreni starts as the favourite with a 132-point Elo edge (1,549 vs 1,417).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Blejoi have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Flacăra Moreni have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 29, 2026 | Păuleşti(away) | 2-6 | Cupa României |
| May 23, 2026 | Viitorul Onesti(away) | 2-0 | Liga III - Play-offs |
| May 15, 2026 | Cetatea Suceava(home) | 0-1 | Liga III - Play-offs |
| May 9, 2026 | Soimii Gura Humorului(away) | 2-4 | Liga III - Play-offs |
| May 1, 2026 | Stiinta Miroslava(home) | 1-2 | Liga III - Play-offs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 12, 2026 | Chindia Targoviste(home) | 1-2 | Cupa României |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Pucioasa(away) | 7-0 | Cupa României |
| May 22, 2026 | Dunarea Calarasi(away) | 7-2 | Liga III - Play-offs |
| May 16, 2026 | Înainte Modelu(home) | 0-1 | Liga III - Play-offs |
| May 9, 2026 | Popești-Leordeni(away) | 1-1 | Liga III - Play-offs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 4 Blejoi win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Flacăra Moreni win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2024 | Blejoi 4-2 Flacăra Moreni | Liga III - Serie 5 |
| Oct 5, 2024 | Flacăra Moreni 0-1 Blejoi | Liga III - Serie 5 |
| Nov 4, 2023 | Blejoi 3-1 Flacăra Moreni | Liga III - Serie 4 |
| Sep 2, 2023 | Flacăra Moreni 0-3 Blejoi | Liga III - Serie 4 |
| Jul 31, 2019 | Blejoi 0-2 Flacăra Moreni | Cupa României |
Last archived meeting: Blejoi vs Flacăra Moreni on Dec 6, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Blejoi score 1.2 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Flacăra Moreni score 2.1 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blejoi | 1.2 | 1.9 | 3 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Flacăra Moreni | 2.1 | 1.6 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Blejoi vs Flacăra Moreni?
- The Footlab model makes Flacăra Moreni the favourite at 43%, against 25% for a draw and 33% for Blejoi.
- Where and when is Blejoi vs Flacăra Moreni played?
- Blejoi vs Flacăra Moreni is played on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stadionul Comunal, in the Liga III - Serie 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.