Plopeni vs Flacăra Moreni: prediction and stats
Liga III - Serie 3Group 3 - 9Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stadionul Gheorghe Șilaev, Plopeni
The Footlab model makes Flacăra Moreni the favourite at 49%, against 24% for a draw and 27% for Plopeni. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Plopeni vs Flacăra Moreni?
Flacăra Moreni starts as the favourite with a 204-point Elo edge (1,550 vs 1,346).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Plopeni have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Flacăra Moreni have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 29, 2026 | Baicoi(home) | 1-2 | Cupa României |
| May 16, 2026 | FC Oţelul II(home) | 4-0 | Liga III - Serie 2 |
| May 9, 2026 | Victoria Traian(away) | 1-1 | Liga III - Serie 2 |
| May 2, 2026 | Păuleşti(home) | 1-2 | Liga III - Serie 2 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Unirea Braniştea(away) | 0-1 | Liga III - Serie 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 12, 2026 | Chindia Targoviste(home) | 1-2 | Cupa României |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Pucioasa(away) | 7-0 | Cupa României |
| May 22, 2026 | Dunarea Calarasi(away) | 7-2 | Liga III - Play-offs |
| May 16, 2026 | Înainte Modelu(home) | 0-1 | Liga III - Play-offs |
| May 9, 2026 | Popești-Leordeni(away) | 1-1 | Liga III - Play-offs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Plopeni win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Flacăra Moreni win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 18, 2024 | Plopeni 1-0 Flacăra Moreni | Liga III - Serie 4 |
| Apr 20, 2024 | Flacăra Moreni 1-0 Plopeni | Liga III - Serie 4 |
| Nov 11, 2023 | Flacăra Moreni 1-1 Plopeni | Liga III - Serie 4 |
| Sep 9, 2023 | Plopeni 1-2 Flacăra Moreni | Liga III - Serie 4 |
| Aug 9, 2023 | Flacăra Moreni 0-1 Plopeni | Cupa României |
Last archived meeting: Plopeni vs Flacăra Moreni on May 18, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Plopeni score 1.5 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Flacăra Moreni score 2.1 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Plopeni | 1.5 | 1.4 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Flacăra Moreni | 2.1 | 1.6 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Plopeni vs Flacăra Moreni?
- The Footlab model makes Flacăra Moreni the favourite at 49%, against 24% for a draw and 27% for Plopeni.
- Where and when is Plopeni vs Flacăra Moreni played?
- Plopeni vs Flacăra Moreni is played on October 17, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stadionul Gheorghe Șilaev, in the Liga III - Serie 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.