Plopeni vs Flacăra Moreni: prediction and stats
Liga III - Serie 3Group 3 - 9Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Stadionul Gheorghe Șilaev, Plopeni
The Footlab AI model makes Flacăra Moreni the favourite at 55%, against 23% for a draw and 22% for Plopeni. The most likely score is 1-1. If Flacăra Moreni wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,440 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Plopeni vs Flacăra Moreni?
Flacăra Moreni starts as the favourite with a 265-point Elo edge (1,699 vs 1,434).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Plopeni vs Flacăra Moreni
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Plopeni
Not enough data to predict the Plopeni lineup.
Flacăra Moreni
Not enough data to predict the Flacăra Moreni lineup.
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 08:28 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Plopeni have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Flacăra Moreni have 11, 2 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Râmnicu Sărat(away) | 2-3 | Liga III - Serie 3 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Pucioasa(home) | 0-0 | Liga III - Serie 3 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Voința Crevedia(away) | 1-0 | Liga III - Serie 3 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Blejoi(home) | 0-3 | Liga III - Serie 3 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Progresul Draganesti(away) | 2-4 | Liga III - Serie 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Viitorul Corbeanca(home) | 3-2 | Liga III - Serie 3 |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Râmnicu Sărat(away) | 5-1 | Liga III - Serie 3 |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Tunari(home) | 6-0 | Liga III - Serie 3 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Pucioasa(away) | 1-0 | Liga III - Serie 3 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Păuleşti(home) | 1-1 | Liga III - Serie 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Plopeni wins, 1 draw, 2 Flacăra Moreni wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 18, 2024 | Plopeni 1-0 Flacăra Moreni | Liga III - Serie 4 |
| Apr 20, 2024 | Flacăra Moreni 1-0 Plopeni | Liga III - Serie 4 |
| Nov 11, 2023 | Flacăra Moreni 1-1 Plopeni | Liga III - Serie 4 |
| Sep 9, 2023 | Plopeni 1-2 Flacăra Moreni | Liga III - Serie 4 |
| Aug 9, 2023 | Flacăra Moreni 0-1 Plopeni | Cupa României |
Last archived meeting: Plopeni vs Flacăra Moreni on May 18, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Plopeni score 1.2 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Flacăra Moreni score 3.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Plopeni | 1.2 | 1.5 | 5 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Flacăra Moreni | 3.3 | 1.1 | 4 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Plopeni sit 7th in Liga III - Serie 3 (10 points from 7 matches) and Flacăra Moreni sit 1st (19 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flacăra Moreni | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 24 | 5 | 19 |
| 7 | Plopeni | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 10 |
A question about Plopeni vs Flacăra Moreni?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Plopeni vs Flacăra Moreni?
- The Footlab AI model makes Flacăra Moreni the favourite at 55%, against 23% for a draw and 22% for Plopeni.
- Where and when is Plopeni vs Flacăra Moreni played?
- Plopeni vs Flacăra Moreni is played on October 17, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Stadionul Gheorghe Șilaev, in the Liga III - Serie 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.