Blooming vs Bolívar: prediction and stats
Copa de la División ProfesionalGroup Stage - 8Kick-off on October 9, 2026 at 12:00 AM (UTC)Estadio Ramón Aguilera Costas, Santa Cruz de la Sierra
The Footlab model makes Bolívar the favourite at 44%, against 25% for a draw and 30% for Blooming. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Blooming vs Bolívar?
Bolívar starts as the favourite with a 263-point Elo edge (1,826 vs 1,563).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Blooming have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Bolívar have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Guabirá(away) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Independiente Petrolero(away) | 2-5 | Copa de la División Profesional |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Aurora(home) | 3-0 | Primera División |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Real Potosí(away) | 0-2 | Primera División |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Always Ready(home) | 0-0 | Primera División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Real Oruro(away) | 4-2 | Primera División |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Sao Paulo(away) | 1-3 | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
| Aug 15, 2026 | San Antonio Bulo Bulo(home) | 4-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Sao Paulo(home) | 1-1 | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Aurora(away) | 4-2 | Primera División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Blooming win(s), 2 draw(s), 4 Bolívar win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Blooming 0-0 Bolívar | Primera División |
| Feb 28, 2026 | Blooming 1-3 Bolívar | Torneo Amistoso de Verano |
| Feb 26, 2026 | Bolívar 5-1 Blooming | Torneo Amistoso de Verano |
| Dec 19, 2025 | Bolívar 5-0 Blooming | Copa de la División Profesional |
| Dec 16, 2025 | Blooming 1-1 Bolívar | Copa de la División Profesional |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Blooming 1-2 Bolívar | Primera División |
How many goals should we expect?
Blooming score 0.7 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Bolívar score 2.1 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blooming | 0.7 | 1.7 | 5 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
| Bolívar | 2.1 | 1.5 | 2 | 12/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Blooming vs Bolívar?
- The Footlab model makes Bolívar the favourite at 44%, against 25% for a draw and 30% for Blooming.
- Where and when is Blooming vs Bolívar played?
- Blooming vs Bolívar is played on October 9, 2026 at 12:00 AM (UTC) at Estadio Ramón Aguilera Costas, in the Copa de la División Profesional.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.