Independiente Petrolero vs Gualberto Villarroel SJ: prediction and stats
Copa de la División ProfesionalGroup Stage - 8Kick-off on October 7, 2026 at 10:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Olímpico Patria, Sucre
The Footlab model makes Independiente Petrolero the favourite at 48%, against 25% for a draw and 27% for Gualberto Villarroel SJ. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Independiente Petrolero vs Gualberto Villarroel SJ?
A very open match: only 29 Elo points separate Independiente Petrolero (1,528) and Gualberto Villarroel SJ (1,499).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Independiente Petrolero have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Gualberto Villarroel SJ have 2, 7 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Nacional Potosí(away) | 0-3 | Primera División |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Blooming(home) | 5-2 | Copa de la División Profesional |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Gualberto Villarroel SJ(home) | 1-0 | Primera División |
| Aug 8, 2026 | The Strongest(away) | 2-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Aurora(home) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | ABB(away) | 2-2 | Primera División |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Independiente Petrolero(away) | 0-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Always Ready(home) | 2-3 | Primera División |
| Aug 5, 2026 | San Antonio Bulo Bulo(home) | 0-0 | Primera División |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Real Potosí(away) | 0-0 | Primera División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 1 Independiente Petrolero win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Gualberto Villarroel SJ win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 17, 2026 | Independiente Petrolero 1-0 Gualberto Villarroel SJ | Primera División |
| Aug 10, 2025 | Gualberto Villarroel SJ 2-1 Independiente Petrolero | Primera División |
| Apr 6, 2025 | Independiente Petrolero 0-2 Gualberto Villarroel SJ | Primera División |
| Sep 28, 2024 | Independiente Petrolero 0-1 Gualberto Villarroel SJ | Primera División |
| May 18, 2024 | Gualberto Villarroel SJ 2-2 Independiente Petrolero | Primera División |
Last archived meeting: Independiente Petrolero vs Gualberto Villarroel SJ on Aug 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Independiente Petrolero score 1.4 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Gualberto Villarroel SJ score 1.0 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Independiente Petrolero | 1.4 | 1.7 | 3 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| Gualberto Villarroel SJ | 1.0 | 1.5 | 3 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Independiente Petrolero vs Gualberto Villarroel SJ?
- The Footlab model makes Independiente Petrolero the favourite at 48%, against 25% for a draw and 27% for Gualberto Villarroel SJ.
- Where and when is Independiente Petrolero vs Gualberto Villarroel SJ played?
- Independiente Petrolero vs Gualberto Villarroel SJ is played on October 7, 2026 at 10:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Olímpico Patria, in the Copa de la División Profesional.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.