Oriente Petrolero vs Universitario de Vinto: prediction and stats
Copa de la División ProfesionalGroup Stage - 8Kick-off on October 8, 2026 at 12:00 AM (UTC)Estadio Ramón Aguilera Costas, Santa Cruz de la Sierra
The Footlab model makes Oriente Petrolero the favourite at 69%, against 18% for a draw and 13% for Universitario de Vinto. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Oriente Petrolero vs Universitario de Vinto?
Oriente Petrolero starts as the favourite with a 138-point Elo edge (1,539 vs 1,401).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Oriente Petrolero have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Universitario de Vinto have 3, 2 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Gualberto Villarroel SJ(away) | 3-3 | Primera División |
| Aug 22, 2026 | San Antonio Bulo Bulo(home) | 4-0 | Primera División |
| Aug 19, 2026 | The Strongest(away) | 1-2 | Copa de la División Profesional |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Real Oruro(away) | 3-2 | Primera División |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Universitario de Vinto(home) | 5-0 | Primera División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Nacional Potosí(home) | 2-0 | Primera División |
| Aug 21, 2026 | The Strongest(away) | 3-4 | Primera División |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Guabirá(away) | 1-2 | Copa de la División Profesional |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Real Tomayapo(home) | 0-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Oriente Petrolero(away) | 0-5 | Primera División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Oriente Petrolero win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Universitario de Vinto win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 9, 2026 | Oriente Petrolero 5-0 Universitario de Vinto | Primera División |
| Aug 8, 2025 | Universitario de Vinto 2-1 Oriente Petrolero | Primera División |
| Jul 3, 2025 | Oriente Petrolero 3-2 Universitario de Vinto | Copa de la División Profesional |
| May 21, 2025 | Universitario de Vinto 1-1 Oriente Petrolero | Copa de la División Profesional |
| Apr 4, 2025 | Oriente Petrolero 0-0 Universitario de Vinto | Primera División |
| Nov 21, 2024 | Universitario de Vinto 4-1 Oriente Petrolero | Primera División |
Last archived meeting: Oriente Petrolero vs Universitario de Vinto on Aug 9, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Oriente Petrolero score 2.1 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Universitario de Vinto score 1.1 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oriente Petrolero | 2.1 | 1.4 | 4 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
| Universitario de Vinto | 1.1 | 2.1 | 2 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Oriente Petrolero vs Universitario de Vinto?
- The Footlab model makes Oriente Petrolero the favourite at 69%, against 18% for a draw and 13% for Universitario de Vinto.
- Where and when is Oriente Petrolero vs Universitario de Vinto played?
- Oriente Petrolero vs Universitario de Vinto is played on October 8, 2026 at 12:00 AM (UTC) at Estadio Ramón Aguilera Costas, in the Copa de la División Profesional.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.