Real Oruro vs Real Tomayapo: prediction and stats
Copa de la División ProfesionalGroup Stage - 8Kick-off on October 6, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Real Oruro the favourite at 57%, against 21% for a draw and 21% for Real Tomayapo. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Real Oruro vs Real Tomayapo?
A very open match: only 53 Elo points separate Real Oruro (1,492) and Real Tomayapo (1,438).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Real Oruro have 5 wins, 1 draws and 9 defeats; Real Tomayapo have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Bolívar(home) | 2-4 | Primera División |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Always Ready(away) | 2-4 | Copa de la División Profesional |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Oriente Petrolero(home) | 2-3 | Primera División |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Real Tomayapo(away) | 2-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 4, 2026 | ABB(away) | 1-4 | Primera División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Always Ready(home) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Universitario de Vinto(away) | 1-0 | Primera División |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Real Oruro(home) | 1-2 | Primera División |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Guabirá(away) | 0-3 | Primera División |
| Jul 31, 2026 | ABB(home) | 1-1 | Primera División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 3 Real Oruro win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Real Tomayapo win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 7, 2026 | Real Tomayapo 1-2 Real Oruro | Primera División |
| Nov 28, 2025 | Real Oruro 5-2 Real Tomayapo | Primera División |
| Jul 17, 2025 | Real Tomayapo 1-1 Real Oruro | Copa de la División Profesional |
| Jun 25, 2025 | Real Oruro 2-0 Real Tomayapo | Copa de la División Profesional |
| Jun 21, 2025 | Real Tomayapo 3-2 Real Oruro | Primera División |
Last archived meeting: Real Tomayapo vs Real Oruro on Aug 7, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Real Oruro score 1.8 and concede 2.6 goals per match over their last 15; Real Tomayapo score 0.8 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Oruro | 1.8 | 2.6 | 0 | 13/15 | 14/15 |
| Real Tomayapo | 0.8 | 1.9 | 3 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Real Oruro vs Real Tomayapo?
- The Footlab model makes Real Oruro the favourite at 57%, against 21% for a draw and 21% for Real Tomayapo.
- Where and when is Real Oruro vs Real Tomayapo played?
- Real Oruro vs Real Tomayapo is played on October 6, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC), in the Copa de la División Profesional.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.