Bnei Sakhnin vs Beitar Jerusalem: prediction and stats
Ligat Ha'alRegular Season - 3Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Doha Stadium, Sakhnin
The Footlab model makes Beitar Jerusalem the favourite at 71%, against 19% for a draw and 10% for Bnei Sakhnin. The most likely score is 0-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bnei Sakhnin vs Beitar Jerusalem?
Beitar Jerusalem is a heavy favourite: 2,079 Elo points against 1,729 — a 351-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bnei Sakhnin have 2 wins, 3 draws and 10 defeats; Beitar Jerusalem have 6, 6 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Hapoel Petah Tikva(home) | 1-0 | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Maccabi Haifa(home) | 0-1 | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Ironi Kiryat Shmona(away) | 0-1 | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Hapoel Haifa(home) | 1-2 | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Ironi Tiberias(away) | 1-2 | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 17, 2026 | Hapoel Ramat Gan(away) | 3-3 | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Austria Vienna(away) | 2-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Austria Vienna(home) | 1-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Jul 30, 2026 | AEK Larnaca(home) | 2-3 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Jul 23, 2026 | AEK Larnaca(away) | 1-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Bnei Sakhnin win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Beitar Jerusalem win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 15, 2025 | Beitar Jerusalem 2-1 Bnei Sakhnin | Ligat Ha'al |
| Aug 25, 2025 | Bnei Sakhnin 1-2 Beitar Jerusalem | Ligat Ha'al |
| Jan 25, 2025 | Beitar Jerusalem 1-0 Bnei Sakhnin | Ligat Ha'al |
| Nov 5, 2024 | Bnei Sakhnin 2-1 Beitar Jerusalem | Ligat Ha'al |
| Feb 17, 2024 | Bnei Sakhnin 2-1 Beitar Jerusalem | Ligat Ha'al |
| Dec 16, 2023 | Beitar Jerusalem 1-1 Bnei Sakhnin | Ligat Ha'al |
Last archived meeting: Beitar Jerusalem vs Bnei Sakhnin on Dec 15, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Bnei Sakhnin score 0.4 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Beitar Jerusalem score 1.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bnei Sakhnin | 0.4 | 1.5 | 4 | 3/15 | 5/15 |
| Beitar Jerusalem | 1.7 | 1.5 | 3 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bnei Sakhnin sit 5th in Ligat Ha'al (34 points from 33 matches) and Beitar Jerusalem sit 2nd (76 points from 36 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Beitar Jerusalem | 36 | 22 | 10 | 4 | 78 | 40 | 76 |
| 5 | Bnei Sakhnin | 33 | 8 | 10 | 15 | 28 | 49 | 34 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bnei Sakhnin vs Beitar Jerusalem?
- The Footlab model makes Beitar Jerusalem the favourite at 71%, against 19% for a draw and 10% for Bnei Sakhnin.
- Where and when is Bnei Sakhnin vs Beitar Jerusalem played?
- Bnei Sakhnin vs Beitar Jerusalem is played on September 5, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Doha Stadium, in the Ligat Ha'al.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.