Bocholt vs Tongeren: prediction and stats
Second Amateur Division - VFV BVFV B - 1Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Axor Arena, Bocholt
The Footlab model makes Bocholt the favourite at 45%, against 23% for a draw and 32% for Tongeren. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bocholt vs Tongeren?
A very open match: only 5 Elo points separate Bocholt (1,717) and Tongeren (1,712).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bocholt have 3 wins, 1 draws and 11 defeats; Tongeren have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Zulte Waregem II(home) | 2-3 | Second Amateur Division - Play-offs |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Heist(away) | 0-3 | Second Amateur Division - VFV B |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Berg en Dal(home) | 2-1 | Second Amateur Division - VFV B |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Racing Mechelen(away) | 0-1 | Second Amateur Division - VFV B |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Rotselaar(home) | 2-4 | Second Amateur Division - VFV B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 25, 2026 | Sporting Hasselt(home) | 0-10 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Berchem Sport(home) | 0-1 | Second Amateur Division - VFV B |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Rupel Boom(away) | 1-1 | Second Amateur Division - VFV B |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Eendracht Termien(home) | 3-0 | Second Amateur Division - VFV B |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Cappellen(away) | 2-2 | Second Amateur Division - VFV B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Bocholt win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Tongeren win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 13, 2026 | Tongeren 0-0 Bocholt | Second Amateur Division - VFV B |
| Nov 1, 2025 | Bocholt 5-0 Tongeren | Second Amateur Division - VFV B |
| Feb 15, 2025 | Bocholt 4-0 Tongeren | Second Amateur Division - VFV B |
| Oct 5, 2024 | Tongeren 0-0 Bocholt | Second Amateur Division - VFV B |
| Jan 27, 2024 | Bocholt 3-2 Tongeren | Second Amateur Division - VFV B |
| Nov 25, 2023 | Tongeren 0-3 Bocholt | Second Amateur Division - VFV B |
How many goals should we expect?
Bocholt score 1.4 and concede 2.4 goals per match over their last 15; Tongeren score 1.5 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bocholt | 1.4 | 2.4 | 2 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| Tongeren | 1.5 | 2.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bocholt sit 13th in Second Amateur Division - VFV B (31 points from 30 matches) and Tongeren sit 11th (32 points from 30 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Tongeren | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 27 | 41 | 32 |
| 13 | Bocholt | 30 | 8 | 7 | 15 | 50 | 59 | 31 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bocholt vs Tongeren?
- The Footlab model makes Bocholt the favourite at 45%, against 23% for a draw and 32% for Tongeren.
- Where and when is Bocholt vs Tongeren played?
- Bocholt vs Tongeren is played on August 29, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Axor Arena, in the Second Amateur Division - VFV B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.