Bodo/Glimt vs Borussia Dortmund: prediction and stats
UEFA Champions LeagueLeague Stage - 2Kick-off on October 14, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Aspmyra Stadion, Bodø
The Footlab AI model makes Bodo/Glimt the favourite at 45%, against 24% for a draw and 31% for Borussia Dortmund. The most likely score is 1-1. If Bodo/Glimt wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.9% of the 1,758 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bodo/Glimt vs Borussia Dortmund?
A very open match: only 57 Elo points separate Bodo/Glimt (2,268) and Borussia Dortmund (2,326).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Bodo/Glimt vs Borussia Dortmund
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Bodo/Glimt
4-4-2- 21A. Helmersen
- 11O. Didrik Blomberg
- 7P. Berg
- 19S. Fet
- 8S. Auklend
- 10J. Hauge
- 4O. Bjørtuft
- 20F. Sjøvold
- 15F. Bjørkan
- 2V. Nielsen
- 12N. Haikin
Borussia Dortmund
3-4-2-1- 9S. Guirassy
- 24D. Svensson
- 26J. Ryerson
- 8F. Nmecha
- 25J. Veerman
- 14M. Beier
- 19K. Karetsas
- 3W. Anton
- 22Kouakou Joane Gadou
- 39F. Mané
- 1G. Kobel
Known absences
N. SchlotterbeckOut · Ligament Stretching
Computed on October 9, 2026 at 02:31 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bodo/Glimt have 12 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats; Borussia Dortmund have 11, 1 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 1, 2026 | Rana(away) | 6-2 | NM Cupen |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Brann(away) | 1-2 | Eliteserien |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Sandefjord(home) | 3-2 | Eliteserien |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Bayern München(away) | 0-5 | UEFA Champions League |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Fredrikstad(away) | 2-1 | Eliteserien |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | VfB Stuttgart(away) | 1-0 | Bundesliga |
| Sep 12, 2026 | SC Paderborn 07(home) | 3-0 | Bundesliga |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Villarreal(home) | 3-2 | UEFA Champions League |
| Sep 5, 2026 | 1899 Hoffenheim(away) | 3-2 | Bundesliga |
| Sep 1, 2026 | HEBC(away) | 5-0 | DFB Pokal |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Bodo/Glimt wins, 1 draw, 0 Borussia Dortmund wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 10, 2025 | Borussia Dortmund 2-2 Bodo/Glimt | UEFA Champions League |
Last archived meeting: Borussia Dortmund vs Bodo/Glimt on Dec 10, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Bodo/Glimt score 3.0 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Borussia Dortmund score 2.2 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bodo/Glimt | 3.0 | 1.4 | 5 | 9/15 | 15/15 |
| Borussia Dortmund | 2.2 | 1.1 | 6 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bodo/Glimt sit 36th in UEFA Champions League (0 points from 1 match) and Borussia Dortmund sit 12th (3 points from 1 match).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Borussia Dortmund | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 36 | Bodo/Glimt | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 |
A question about Bodo/Glimt vs Borussia Dortmund?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bodo/Glimt vs Borussia Dortmund?
- The Footlab AI model makes Bodo/Glimt the favourite at 45%, against 24% for a draw and 31% for Borussia Dortmund.
- Where and when is Bodo/Glimt vs Borussia Dortmund played?
- Bodo/Glimt vs Borussia Dortmund is played on October 14, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Aspmyra Stadion, in the UEFA Champions League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.9% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.