RB Leipzig vs PSV Eindhoven: prediction and stats
UEFA Champions LeagueLeague Stage - 2Kick-off on October 13, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Red Bull Arena, Leipzig
The Footlab AI model makes RB Leipzig the favourite at 49%, against 24% for a draw and 27% for PSV Eindhoven. The most likely score is 1-1. If RB Leipzig wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win RB Leipzig vs PSV Eindhoven?
A very open match: only 41 Elo points separate RB Leipzig (2,185) and PSV Eindhoven (2,226).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for RB Leipzig vs PSV Eindhoven
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
RB Leipzig
4-3-3- 7A. Nusa
- 28C. Nkunku
- 10B. Gruda
- 21N. El Aynaoui
- 6E. Banzuzi
- 13N. Seiwald
- 4W. Orbán
- 22D. Raum
- 17R. Baku
- 23C. Lukeba
- 26M. Vandevoordt
PSV Eindhoven
4-3-3- 5I. Perišić
- 9R. Pepi
- 7R. van Bommel
- 20G. Til
- 24K. Sano
- 10P. Wanner
- 4A. Obispo
- 8S. Dest
- 2L. Geertruida
- 17Mauro Júnior
- 32M. Kovář
Computed on October 9, 2026 at 12:55 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, RB Leipzig have 7 wins, 0 draws and 8 defeats; PSV Eindhoven have 10, 2 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Bayer Leverkusen(away) | 0-2 | Bundesliga |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Hamburger SV(home) | 5-0 | Bundesliga |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Como(away) | 1-4 | UEFA Champions League |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Werder Bremen(away) | 1-3 | Bundesliga |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Borussia Mönchengladbach(home) | 3-0 | Bundesliga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Twente(away) | 2-3 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Sparta Rotterdam(home) | 4-1 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Shakhtar Donetsk(home) | 1-1 | UEFA Champions League |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Ajax(away) | 3-1 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Utrecht(away) | 6-1 | Eredivisie |
How many goals should we expect?
RB Leipzig score 1.9 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; PSV Eindhoven score 3.2 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RB Leipzig | 1.9 | 1.8 | 5 | 8/15 | 12/15 |
| PSV Eindhoven | 3.2 | 1.7 | 1 | 13/15 | 14/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
RB Leipzig sit 32nd in UEFA Champions League (0 points from 1 match) and PSV Eindhoven sit 19th (1 point from 1 match).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | PSV Eindhoven | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 32 | RB Leipzig | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
A question about RB Leipzig vs PSV Eindhoven?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for RB Leipzig vs PSV Eindhoven?
- The Footlab AI model makes RB Leipzig the favourite at 49%, against 24% for a draw and 27% for PSV Eindhoven.
- Where and when is RB Leipzig vs PSV Eindhoven played?
- RB Leipzig vs PSV Eindhoven is played on October 13, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Red Bull Arena, in the UEFA Champions League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.