Match

AC Milan vs Bologna: prediction and stats

Serie ARegular Season - 9Kick-off on October 28, 2026 at 05:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Giuseppe Meazza, Milano

AC MilanBologna

The Footlab AI model makes AC Milan the favourite at 55%, against 26% for a draw and 19% for Bologna. The most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,479 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win AC Milan vs Bologna?

AC Milan starts as the favourite with a 141-point Elo edge (2,152 vs 2,011).

55%26%19%
AC Milan winDrawBologna win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for AC Milan vs Bologna

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

AC Milan

3-4-2-1
  1. 9Gonçalo Ramos
  1. 12A. Rabiot
  2. 21S. Chukwueze
  3. 2P. Estupiñán
  4. 80Y. Musah
  5. 22Diego Moreira
  6. 70A. Cissè
  1. 31S. Pavlović
  2. 34Mario Gila
  3. 5K. De Winter
  1. 16M. Maignan

Known absences

  • C. PulišićOut · Calf injury

Bologna

3-4-2-1
  1. 91R. Piccoli
  1. 28N. Cambiaghi
  2. 19L. Ferguson
  3. 4T. Pobega
  4. 33Juan Miranda
  5. 20N. Zortea
  6. 7R. Orsolini
  1. 14T. Heggem
  2. 16N. Casale
  3. 36M. Darmian
  1. 25M. Pessina

Computed on October 16, 2026 at 12:26 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, AC Milan have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Bologna have 5, 4 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

AC Milan
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 15, 2026Red Bull Salzburg(away)4-0UEFA Europa League
Oct 11, 2026Sassuolo(away)1-1Serie A
Sep 20, 2026Lecce(home)3-0Serie A
Sep 16, 2026Benfica(home)0-2UEFA Europa League
Sep 12, 2026Lazio(away)2-2Serie A
Bologna
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 11, 2026Lecce(away)2-1Serie A
Sep 19, 2026Torino(home)1-1Serie A
Sep 13, 2026Napoli(away)0-1Serie A
Sep 6, 2026Sassuolo(home)2-2Serie A
Aug 31, 2026Atalanta(away)0-1Serie A

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 AC Milan wins, 1 draw, 2 Bologna wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 3, 2026Bologna 0-3 AC MilanSerie A
Sep 14, 2025AC Milan 1-0 BolognaSerie A
May 14, 2025AC Milan 0-1 BolognaCoppa Italia
May 9, 2025AC Milan 3-1 BolognaSerie A
Feb 27, 2025Bologna 2-1 AC MilanSerie A
Jan 27, 2024AC Milan 2-2 BolognaSerie A

Last archived meeting: Bologna vs AC Milan on Feb 3, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

AC Milan score 1.8 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Bologna score 1.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
AC Milan1.81.4310/1510/15
Bologna1.31.528/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

AC Milan sit 5th in Serie A (12 points from 6 matches) and Bologna sit 14th (5 points from 6 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
5AC Milan633011512
14Bologna6123575

A question about AC Milan vs Bologna?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for AC Milan vs Bologna?
The Footlab AI model makes AC Milan the favourite at 55%, against 26% for a draw and 19% for Bologna.
Where and when is AC Milan vs Bologna played?
AC Milan vs Bologna is played on October 28, 2026 at 05:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Giuseppe Meazza, in the Serie A.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: AC Milan and Bologna

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