Match

Bologna vs Lecce: prediction and stats

Serie ARegular Season - 26Kick-off on February 28, 2027 at 05:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Renato Dall'Ara, Bologna

BolognaLecce

The Footlab AI model makes Bologna the favourite at 53%, against 26% for a draw and 21% for Lecce. The most likely score is 1-1. If Bologna wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,402 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Bologna vs Lecce?

Bologna starts as the favourite with a 128-point Elo edge (1,969 vs 1,841).

53%26%21%
Bologna winDrawLecce win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Bologna vs Lecce

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Bologna

3-4-2-1
  1. 91R. Piccoli
  1. 28N. Cambiaghi
  2. 19L. Ferguson
  3. 4T. Pobega
  4. 33Juan Miranda
  5. 20N. Zortea
  6. 7R. Orsolini
  1. 14T. Heggem
  2. 16N. Casale
  3. 36M. Darmian
  1. 25M. Pessina

Lecce

4-3-3
  1. 50S. Pierotti
  2. 22Paco Esteban
  3. 7A. Ahmed Fatah
  1. 29L. Coulibaly
  2. 20I. Ilić
  3. 14Y. Maleh
  1. 17Danilo Veiga
  2. 25A. Gallo
  3. 5J. Siebert
  4. 44Tiago Gabriel
  1. 30W. Falcone

Computed on October 15, 2026 at 06:28 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bologna have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Lecce have 7, 1 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Bologna
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 11, 2026Lecce(away)2-1Serie A
Sep 19, 2026Torino(home)1-1Serie A
Sep 13, 2026Napoli(away)0-1Serie A
Sep 6, 2026Sassuolo(home)2-2Serie A
Aug 31, 2026Atalanta(away)0-1Serie A
Lecce
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 11, 2026Bologna(home)1-2Serie A
Sep 20, 2026AC Milan(away)0-3Serie A
Sep 13, 2026Monza(home)3-2Serie A
Sep 7, 2026Cagliari(away)0-1Serie A
Aug 31, 2026AS Roma(home)0-4Serie A

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Bologna wins, 2 draws, 0 Lecce wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Oct 11, 2026Lecce 1-2 BolognaSerie A
Apr 12, 2026Bologna 2-0 LecceSerie A
Sep 28, 2025Lecce 2-2 BolognaSerie A
Feb 9, 2025Lecce 0-0 BolognaSerie A
Nov 2, 2024Bologna 1-0 LecceSerie A
Feb 11, 2024Bologna 4-0 LecceSerie A

Last archived meeting: Lecce vs Bologna on Oct 11, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Bologna score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Lecce score 1.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Bologna1.31.528/157/15
Lecce1.31.545/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Bologna sit 14th in Serie A (5 points from 6 matches) and Lecce sit 13th (6 points from 6 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
13Lecce62046126
14Bologna6123575

A question about Bologna vs Lecce?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Bologna vs Lecce?
The Footlab AI model makes Bologna the favourite at 53%, against 26% for a draw and 21% for Lecce.
Where and when is Bologna vs Lecce played?
Bologna vs Lecce is played on February 28, 2027 at 05:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Renato Dall'Ara, in the Serie A.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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