Match

Parma vs Sassuolo: prediction and stats

Serie ARegular Season - 26Kick-off on February 28, 2027 at 05:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Ennio Tardini, Parma

ParmaSassuolo

The Footlab AI model makes Sassuolo the favourite at 44%, against 28% for a draw and 28% for Parma. The most likely score is 1-1. If Sassuolo wins, the most likely score is 0-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Parma vs Sassuolo?

A very open match: only 85 Elo points separate Parma (1,860) and Sassuolo (1,946).

28%28%44%
Parma winDrawSassuolo win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Parma vs Sassuolo

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Parma

3-4-2-1
  1. 23N. Elphege
  1. 14E. Valeri
  2. 15E. Del Prato
  3. 19E. Touré
  4. 16M. Keita
  5. 4V. Sierro
  6. 80G. Fabbian
  1. 37M. Troilo
  2. 34Diego Carlos
  3. 29F. Carboni
  1. 40E. Corvi

Sassuolo

4-3-3
  1. 45A. Laurienté
  2. 94S. Esposito
  3. 10D. Berardi
  1. 18N. Matić
  2. 50D. Bakola
  3. 17Vasilije Adžić
  1. 3J. Doig
  2. 16F. Leysen
  3. 15D. Ćaleta-Car
  4. 20I. Van der Brempt
  1. 49A. Murić

Computed on October 14, 2026 at 04:58 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Parma have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Sassuolo have 4, 4 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Parma
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 10, 2026Inter(away)0-3Serie A
Sep 20, 2026Genoa(home)2-1Serie A
Sep 14, 2026Como(away)1-2Serie A
Sep 6, 2026Monza(home)1-1Serie A
Sep 1, 2026Cremonese(home)0-2Coppa Italia
Sassuolo
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 11, 2026AC Milan(home)1-1Serie A
Sep 18, 2026Monza(away)1-2Serie A
Sep 13, 2026Juventus(home)3-2Serie A
Sep 6, 2026Bologna(away)2-2Serie A
Sep 2, 2026Frosinone(home)1-1Coppa Italia

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Parma wins, 2 draws, 2 Sassuolo wins.

DateScoreCompetition
May 24, 2026Parma 1-0 SassuoloSerie A
Jan 3, 2026Sassuolo 1-1 ParmaSerie A
Aug 2, 2023Parma 1-0 SassuoloFriendlies Clubs
Aug 1, 2021Parma 0-3 SassuoloFriendlies Clubs
May 16, 2021Parma 1-3 SassuoloSerie A
Jan 17, 2021Sassuolo 1-1 ParmaSerie A

Last archived meeting: Parma vs Sassuolo on May 24, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Parma score 0.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Sassuolo score 1.6 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Parma0.71.526/154/15
Sassuolo1.61.7212/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Parma sit 18th in Serie A (4 points from 6 matches) and Sassuolo sit 11th (8 points from 6 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
11Sassuolo622210108
18Parma61144104

A question about Parma vs Sassuolo?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Parma vs Sassuolo?
The Footlab AI model makes Sassuolo the favourite at 44%, against 28% for a draw and 28% for Parma.
Where and when is Parma vs Sassuolo played?
Parma vs Sassuolo is played on February 28, 2027 at 05:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Ennio Tardini, in the Serie A.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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