Como vs AC Milan: prediction and stats
Serie ARegular Season - 26Kick-off on February 28, 2027 at 05:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia, Como
The Footlab model makes Como the favourite at 50%, against 26% for a draw and 24% for AC Milan. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Como vs AC Milan?
A very open match: only 44 Elo points separate Como (2,179) and AC Milan (2,136).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Como have 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; AC Milan have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Udinese(away) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Liverpool(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Arsenal(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Famalicao(away) | 3-2 | Como Cup |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Villarreal(away) | 1-1 | Como Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Torino(away) | 2-1 | Serie A |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Manchester United(away) | 4-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Chelsea(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Inter(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Celtic(away) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Como win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 AC Milan win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 18, 2026 | AC Milan 1-1 Como | Serie A |
| Jan 15, 2026 | Como 1-3 AC Milan | Serie A |
| Mar 15, 2025 | AC Milan 2-1 Como | Serie A |
| Jan 14, 2025 | Como 1-2 AC Milan | Serie A |
How many goals should we expect?
Como score 1.5 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; AC Milan score 1.2 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Como | 1.5 | 1.1 | 6 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
| AC Milan | 1.2 | 1.6 | 2 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Como sit 10th in Serie A (1 points from 1 matches) and AC Milan sit 5th (3 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | AC Milan | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 10 | Como | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Como vs AC Milan?
- The Footlab model makes Como the favourite at 50%, against 26% for a draw and 24% for AC Milan.
- Where and when is Como vs AC Milan played?
- Como vs AC Milan is played on February 28, 2027 at 05:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia, in the Serie A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.