Match

Sassuolo vs Bologna: prediction and stats

Serie ARegular Season - 27Kick-off on March 7, 2027 at 05:30 PM (UTC)MAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricolore, Reggio Emilia

SassuoloBologna

The Footlab AI model makes Sassuolo the favourite at 42%, against 28% for a draw and 30% for Bologna. The most likely score is 1-1. If Sassuolo wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,541 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 17, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Sassuolo vs Bologna?

A very open match: only 34 Elo points separate Sassuolo (1,977) and Bologna (2,011).

42%28%30%
Sassuolo winDrawBologna win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Sassuolo vs Bologna

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Sassuolo

4-2-3-1
  1. 94S. Esposito
  1. 18N. Matić
  2. 45A. Laurienté
  3. 10D. Berardi
  4. 50D. Bakola
  5. 42K. Thorstvedt
  1. 3J. Doig
  2. 15D. Ćaleta-Car
  3. 20I. Van der Brempt
  4. 16F. Leysen
  1. 49A. Murić

Bologna

3-4-2-1
  1. 91R. Piccoli
  1. 28N. Cambiaghi
  2. 19L. Ferguson
  3. 4T. Pobega
  4. 33Juan Miranda
  5. 20N. Zortea
  6. 7R. Orsolini
  1. 14T. Heggem
  2. 16N. Casale
  3. 36M. Darmian
  1. 25M. Pessina

Computed on October 17, 2026 at 03:46 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sassuolo have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Bologna have 5, 4 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Sassuolo
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 16, 2026Frosinone(away)2-4Serie A
Oct 11, 2026AC Milan(home)1-1Serie A
Sep 18, 2026Monza(away)1-2Serie A
Sep 13, 2026Juventus(home)3-2Serie A
Sep 6, 2026Bologna(away)2-2Serie A
Bologna
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 11, 2026Lecce(away)2-1Serie A
Sep 19, 2026Torino(home)1-1Serie A
Sep 13, 2026Napoli(away)0-1Serie A
Sep 6, 2026Sassuolo(home)2-2Serie A
Aug 31, 2026Atalanta(away)0-1Serie A

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Sassuolo wins, 4 draws, 2 Bologna wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Sep 6, 2026Bologna 2-2 SassuoloSerie A
Mar 15, 2026Sassuolo 0-1 BolognaSerie A
Dec 28, 2025Bologna 1-1 SassuoloSerie A
Feb 3, 2024Bologna 4-2 SassuoloSerie A
Oct 28, 2023Sassuolo 1-1 BolognaSerie A
May 8, 2023Sassuolo 1-1 BolognaSerie A

Last archived meeting: Bologna vs Sassuolo on Sep 6, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Sassuolo score 1.7 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Bologna score 1.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Sassuolo1.71.8212/1511/15
Bologna1.31.528/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Sassuolo sit 11th in Serie A (8 points from 7 matches) and Bologna sit 14th (5 points from 6 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
11Sassuolo722312148
14Bologna6123575

A question about Sassuolo vs Bologna?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Sassuolo vs Bologna?
The Footlab AI model makes Sassuolo the favourite at 42%, against 28% for a draw and 30% for Bologna.
Where and when is Sassuolo vs Bologna played?
Sassuolo vs Bologna is played on March 7, 2027 at 05:30 PM (UTC) at MAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricolore, in the Serie A.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Sassuolo and Bologna

Ready to know everything about football?