Bolton vs Derby: result 2-1 and analysis
League OneRegular Season - 6Kick-off on September 2, 2023 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Toughsheet Community Stadium, Bolton
Full time
What was the result of Bolton vs Derby?
Bolton won 2-1 on September 2, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 34′C. HourihaneDerby (pen.)
- 43′D. CharlesBolton (pen.)
- 65′J. Dacres-CogleyBolton
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bolton have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Derby have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 29, 2023 | Middlesbrough(home) | 1-3 | League Cup |
| Aug 26, 2023 | Burton Albion(away) | 1-1 | League One |
| Aug 19, 2023 | Wigan(home) | 0-4 | League One |
| Aug 15, 2023 | Fleetwood Town(home) | 3-1 | League One |
| Aug 12, 2023 | Cheltenham(away) | 3-0 | League One |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2023 | Peterborough(away) | 4-2 | League One |
| Aug 19, 2023 | Fleetwood Town(home) | 1-0 | League One |
| Aug 15, 2023 | Oxford United(home) | 1-2 | League One |
| Aug 12, 2023 | Burton Albion(away) | 3-0 | League One |
| Aug 8, 2023 | Blackpool(home) | 0-2 | League Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Bolton win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Derby win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2023 | Derby 2-1 Bolton | League One |
| Dec 27, 2022 | Bolton 0-0 Derby | League One |
| Apr 13, 2019 | Derby 4-0 Bolton | Championship |
| Sep 29, 2018 | Bolton 1-0 Derby | Championship |
| Apr 7, 2018 | Derby 3-0 Bolton | Championship |
| Aug 19, 2017 | Bolton 1-2 Derby | Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Bolton score 1.6 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Derby score 1.5 and concede 1.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bolton | 1.6 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Derby | 1.5 | 1.0 | 6 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Bolton | 46 | 19 | 18 | 9 | 70 | 52 | 75 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy