Bolton vs Grimsby: result 1-0 and analysis
FA Cup1st RoundKick-off on November 5, 2016 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Toughsheet Community Stadium, Bolton
Full time
What was the result of Bolton vs Grimsby?
Bolton won 1-0 on November 5, 2016.
Goalscorers
- 20′L. TrotterBolton
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bolton have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Grimsby have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 29, 2016 | Port Vale(home) | 3-1 | League One |
| Oct 24, 2016 | Bury(away) | 2-0 | League One |
| Oct 18, 2016 | Millwall(away) | 2-0 | League One |
| Oct 15, 2016 | Oldham(home) | 2-0 | League One |
| Oct 8, 2016 | Swindon Town(away) | 1-0 | League One |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 29, 2016 | Yeovil Town(away) | 0-0 | League Two |
| Oct 22, 2016 | Cheltenham(home) | 0-1 | League Two |
| Oct 15, 2016 | Cambridge United(away) | 1-0 | League Two |
| Oct 8, 2016 | Exeter City(away) | 0-0 | League Two |
| Oct 4, 2016 | Leicester City U23(home) | 0-1 | EFL Trophy |
How many goals should we expect?
Bolton score 1.1 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Grimsby score 1.1 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bolton | 1.1 | 0.7 | 6 | 5/15 | 2/15 |
| Grimsby | 1.1 | 1.5 | 5 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy