Bom Jesus EC vs Crixás EC: prediction and stats
Goiano - 2Regular Season - 10Kick-off on September 6, 2026 at 06:30 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Bom Jesus EC the favourite at 65%, against 24% for a draw and 11% for Crixás EC. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bom Jesus EC vs Crixás EC?
Bom Jesus EC starts as the favourite with a 113-point Elo edge (1,753 vs 1,640).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bom Jesus EC have 11 wins, 4 draws and 0 defeats; Crixás EC have 6, 6 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Goiânia(away) | 1-0 | Goiano - 2 |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Grêmio Anápolis(home) | 2-0 | Goiano - 2 |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Crixás EC(away) | 2-2 | Goiano - 2 |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Rio Verde(home) | 0-0 | Goiano - 2 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Trindade(away) | 2-0 | Goiano - 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Tupy FC(home) | 0-1 | Goiano - 2 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Trindade(away) | 1-1 | Goiano - 2 |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Bom Jesus EC(home) | 2-2 | Goiano - 2 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Morrinhos(home) | 3-3 | Goiano - 2 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Goiânia(away) | 0-0 | Goiano - 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Bom Jesus EC win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Crixás EC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 12, 2026 | Crixás EC 2-2 Bom Jesus EC | Goiano - 2 |
| Sep 13, 2025 | Crixás EC 0-0 Bom Jesus EC | Goiano - 3 |
Last archived meeting: Crixás EC vs Bom Jesus EC on Aug 12, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Bom Jesus EC score 2.5 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; Crixás EC score 1.6 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 38% probability of over 2.5 goals and 34% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bom Jesus EC | 2.5 | 0.5 | 9 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| Crixás EC | 1.6 | 1.1 | 6 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bom Jesus EC sit 2nd in Goiano - 2 (15 points from 7 matches) and Crixás EC sit 8th (4 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Bom Jesus EC | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 3 | 15 |
| 8 | Crixás EC | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 13 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bom Jesus EC vs Crixás EC?
- The Footlab model makes Bom Jesus EC the favourite at 65%, against 24% for a draw and 11% for Crixás EC.
- Where and when is Bom Jesus EC vs Crixás EC played?
- Bom Jesus EC vs Crixás EC is played on September 6, 2026 at 06:30 PM (UTC), in the Goiano - 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 38% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.