Rio Verde vs Mineiros: prediction and stats
Goiano - 2Regular Season - 10Kick-off on September 6, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Mozart Veloso do Carmo, Rio Verde, Goiás
The Footlab model makes Rio Verde the favourite at 52%, against 27% for a draw and 20% for Mineiros. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Rio Verde vs Mineiros?
A very open match: only 76 Elo points separate Rio Verde (1,743) and Mineiros (1,667).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Rio Verde have 8 wins, 6 draws and 1 defeats; Mineiros have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Morrinhos(home) | 1-2 | Goiano - 2 |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Goianésia(home) | 3-0 | Goiano - 2 |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Mineiros(away) | 2-1 | Goiano - 2 |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Bom Jesus EC(away) | 0-0 | Goiano - 2 |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Grêmio Anápolis(home) | 4-1 | Goiano - 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Grêmio Anápolis(away) | 0-1 | Goiano - 2 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Tupy FC(away) | 1-1 | Goiano - 2 |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Rio Verde(home) | 1-2 | Goiano - 2 |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Goianésia(home) | 1-1 | Goiano - 2 |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Morrinhos(away) | 0-2 | Goiano - 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Rio Verde win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Mineiros win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 12, 2026 | Mineiros 1-2 Rio Verde | Goiano - 2 |
Last archived meeting: Mineiros vs Rio Verde on Aug 12, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Rio Verde score 1.6 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Mineiros score 1.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rio Verde | 1.6 | 0.7 | 7 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Mineiros | 1.3 | 1.1 | 2 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Rio Verde sit 1st in Goiano - 2 (16 points from 7 matches) and Mineiros sit 9th (3 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rio Verde | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 4 | 16 |
| 9 | Mineiros | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Rio Verde vs Mineiros?
- The Footlab model makes Rio Verde the favourite at 52%, against 27% for a draw and 20% for Mineiros.
- Where and when is Rio Verde vs Mineiros played?
- Rio Verde vs Mineiros is played on September 6, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Mozart Veloso do Carmo, in the Goiano - 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.