Bom Jesus EC vs Tupy FC: prediction and stats
Goiano - 2Regular Season - 12Kick-off on September 13, 2026 at 06:30 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Bom Jesus EC the favourite at 53%, against 28% for a draw and 20% for Tupy FC. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bom Jesus EC vs Tupy FC?
A very open match: only 91 Elo points separate Bom Jesus EC (1,755) and Tupy FC (1,664).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bom Jesus EC have 11 wins, 4 draws and 0 defeats; Tupy FC have 3, 7 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Goiânia(away) | 1-0 | Goiano - 2 |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Grêmio Anápolis(home) | 2-0 | Goiano - 2 |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Crixás EC(away) | 2-2 | Goiano - 2 |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Rio Verde(home) | 0-0 | Goiano - 2 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Trindade(away) | 2-0 | Goiano - 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Crixás EC(away) | 1-0 | Goiano - 2 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Mineiros(home) | 1-1 | Goiano - 2 |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Grêmio Anápolis(away) | 1-1 | Goiano - 2 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Goiânia(home) | 0-0 | Goiano - 2 |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Goianésia(away) | 0-1 | Goiano - 2 |
How many goals should we expect?
Bom Jesus EC score 2.5 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; Tupy FC score 0.7 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bom Jesus EC | 2.5 | 0.5 | 9 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| Tupy FC | 0.7 | 0.8 | 4 | 6/15 | 2/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bom Jesus EC sit 2nd in Goiano - 2 (15 points from 7 matches) and Tupy FC sit 5th (9 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Bom Jesus EC | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 3 | 15 |
| 5 | Tupy FC | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 9 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bom Jesus EC vs Tupy FC?
- The Footlab model makes Bom Jesus EC the favourite at 53%, against 28% for a draw and 20% for Tupy FC.
- Where and when is Bom Jesus EC vs Tupy FC played?
- Bom Jesus EC vs Tupy FC is played on September 13, 2026 at 06:30 PM (UTC), in the Goiano - 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.