Goianésia vs Grêmio Anápolis: prediction and stats
Goiano - 2Regular Season - 12Kick-off on September 13, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Waldeir José de Oliveira, Goianésia, Goiás
The Footlab model makes Goianésia the favourite at 50%, against 28% for a draw and 23% for Grêmio Anápolis. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Goianésia vs Grêmio Anápolis?
A very open match: only 52 Elo points separate Goianésia (1,628) and Grêmio Anápolis (1,575).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Goianésia have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Grêmio Anápolis have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Trindade(home) | 2-1 | Goiano - 2 |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Rio Verde(away) | 0-3 | Goiano - 2 |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Morrinhos(home) | 2-1 | Goiano - 2 |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Mineiros(away) | 1-1 | Goiano - 2 |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Tupy FC(home) | 1-0 | Goiano - 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Mineiros(home) | 1-0 | Goiano - 2 |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Bom Jesus EC(away) | 0-2 | Goiano - 2 |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Tupy FC(home) | 1-1 | Goiano - 2 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Trindade(home) | 3-0 | Goiano - 2 |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Rio Verde(away) | 1-4 | Goiano - 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 3 Goianésia win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Grêmio Anápolis win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2023 | Goianésia 1-0 Grêmio Anápolis | Goiano - 1 |
| Feb 20, 2022 | Goianésia 1-1 Grêmio Anápolis | Goiano - 1 |
| Feb 2, 2022 | Grêmio Anápolis 2-2 Goianésia | Goiano - 1 |
| Jan 14, 2021 | Grêmio Anápolis 1-2 Goianésia | Goiano - 1 |
| Feb 16, 2020 | Goianésia 1-0 Grêmio Anápolis | Goiano - 1 |
Last archived meeting: Goianésia vs Grêmio Anápolis on Jan 25, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Goianésia score 1.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Grêmio Anápolis score 1.2 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goianésia | 1.1 | 1.5 | 3 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| Grêmio Anápolis | 1.2 | 1.4 | 3 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Goianésia sit 3rd in Goiano - 2 (14 points from 7 matches) and Grêmio Anápolis sit 7th (7 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Goianésia | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 8 | 14 |
| 7 | Grêmio Anápolis | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 10 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Goianésia vs Grêmio Anápolis?
- The Footlab model makes Goianésia the favourite at 50%, against 28% for a draw and 23% for Grêmio Anápolis.
- Where and when is Goianésia vs Grêmio Anápolis played?
- Goianésia vs Grêmio Anápolis is played on September 13, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Waldeir José de Oliveira, in the Goiano - 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.