Borac Banja Luka vs BSK Banja Luka: prediction and stats
Premijer LigaRegular Season - 9Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Gradski Stadion, Banja Luka
The Footlab model makes Borac Banja Luka the favourite at 72%, against 19% for a draw and 9% for BSK Banja Luka. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Borac Banja Luka vs BSK Banja Luka?
Borac Banja Luka is a heavy favourite: 1,892 Elo points against 1,437, a 454-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Borac Banja Luka have 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; BSK Banja Luka have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Čelik(home) | 2-0 | Premijer Liga |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Vikingur Reykjavik(away) | 3-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 13, 2026 | ML Vitebsk(away) | 0-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Velež(home) | 3-1 | Premijer Liga |
| Aug 6, 2026 | ML Vitebsk(home) | 1-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | FK Sarajevo(away) | 0-1 | Premijer Liga |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Velež(home) | 2-0 | Premijer Liga |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Zeljeznicar Sarajevo(away) | 1-2 | Premijer Liga |
| May 30, 2026 | Kozara Gradiška(away) | 1-3 | 1st League - RS |
| May 24, 2026 | Leotar(home) | 0-0 | 1st League - RS |
How many goals should we expect?
Borac Banja Luka score 1.6 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; BSK Banja Luka score 1.1 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 42% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Borac Banja Luka | 1.6 | 0.8 | 8 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
| BSK Banja Luka | 1.1 | 0.9 | 7 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Borac Banja Luka sit 3rd in Premijer Liga (6 points from 2 matches) and BSK Banja Luka sit 5th (3 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Borac Banja Luka | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 6 |
| 5 | BSK Banja Luka | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Borac Banja Luka vs BSK Banja Luka?
- The Footlab model makes Borac Banja Luka the favourite at 72%, against 19% for a draw and 9% for BSK Banja Luka.
- Where and when is Borac Banja Luka vs BSK Banja Luka played?
- Borac Banja Luka vs BSK Banja Luka is played on October 10, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Gradski Stadion, in the Premijer Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.