Radnik Bijeljina vs Zeljeznicar Sarajevo: prediction and stats
Premijer LigaRegular Season - 9Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Gradski Stadion, Bijeljina
The Footlab model makes Zeljeznicar Sarajevo the favourite at 35%, against 33% for a draw and 33% for Radnik Bijeljina. The most likely score is 0-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Radnik Bijeljina vs Zeljeznicar Sarajevo?
A very open match: only 88 Elo points separate Radnik Bijeljina (1,505) and Zeljeznicar Sarajevo (1,593).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Radnik Bijeljina have 1 wins, 5 draws and 9 defeats; Zeljeznicar Sarajevo have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Siroki Brijeg(away) | 1-2 | Premijer Liga |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Zrinjski(home) | 1-5 | Premijer Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | FK Sarajevo(away) | 0-0 | Premijer Liga |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Ujpest(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 25, 2026 | Siroki Brijeg(away) | 0-4 | Premijer Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Zrinjski(away) | 0-2 | Premijer Liga |
| Aug 7, 2026 | BSK Banja Luka(home) | 2-1 | Premijer Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Sloboda Tuzla(home) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Karpaty(away) | 0-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 25, 2026 | FK Sarajevo(away) | 0-1 | Premijer Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Radnik Bijeljina win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Zeljeznicar Sarajevo win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2026 | Radnik Bijeljina 0-3 Zeljeznicar Sarajevo | Premijer Liga |
| Dec 13, 2025 | Zeljeznicar Sarajevo 0-0 Radnik Bijeljina | Premijer Liga |
| Oct 5, 2025 | Radnik Bijeljina 1-0 Zeljeznicar Sarajevo | Premijer Liga |
| Jul 27, 2025 | Zeljeznicar Sarajevo 1-1 Radnik Bijeljina | Premijer Liga |
| May 31, 2025 | Radnik Bijeljina 1-2 Zeljeznicar Sarajevo | Premijer Liga |
| Mar 16, 2025 | Radnik Bijeljina 2-3 Zeljeznicar Sarajevo | Premijer Liga |
Last archived meeting: Radnik Bijeljina vs Zeljeznicar Sarajevo on Apr 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Radnik Bijeljina score 0.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Zeljeznicar Sarajevo score 0.9 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 31% probability of over 2.5 goals and 40% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Radnik Bijeljina | 0.3 | 1.5 | 5 | 4/15 | 5/15 |
| Zeljeznicar Sarajevo | 0.9 | 1.2 | 5 | 4/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Radnik Bijeljina sit 9th in Premijer Liga (1 points from 3 matches) and Zeljeznicar Sarajevo sit 6th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Zeljeznicar Sarajevo | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
| 9 | Radnik Bijeljina | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Radnik Bijeljina vs Zeljeznicar Sarajevo?
- The Footlab model makes Zeljeznicar Sarajevo the favourite at 35%, against 33% for a draw and 33% for Radnik Bijeljina.
- Where and when is Radnik Bijeljina vs Zeljeznicar Sarajevo played?
- Radnik Bijeljina vs Zeljeznicar Sarajevo is played on October 10, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Gradski Stadion, in the Premijer Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 31% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.