Borac Banja Luka vs Zeljeznicar Sarajevo: prediction and stats
Premijer LigaRegular Season - 5Kick-off on September 2, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Gradski Stadion, Banja Luka
The Footlab model makes Borac Banja Luka the favourite at 75%, against 18% for a draw and 7% for Zeljeznicar Sarajevo. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Borac Banja Luka vs Zeljeznicar Sarajevo?
Borac Banja Luka starts as the favourite with a 292-point Elo edge (1,890 vs 1,598).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Borac Banja Luka have 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; Zeljeznicar Sarajevo have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Čelik(home) | 2-0 | Premijer Liga |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Vikingur Reykjavik(away) | 3-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 13, 2026 | ML Vitebsk(away) | 0-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Velež(home) | 3-1 | Premijer Liga |
| Aug 6, 2026 | ML Vitebsk(home) | 1-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 7, 2026 | BSK Banja Luka(home) | 2-1 | Premijer Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Sloboda Tuzla(home) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Karpaty(away) | 0-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 25, 2026 | FK Sarajevo(away) | 0-1 | Premijer Liga |
| May 21, 2026 | Siroki Brijeg(home) | 2-2 | Premijer Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Borac Banja Luka win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Zeljeznicar Sarajevo win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 16, 2026 | Borac Banja Luka 1-0 Zeljeznicar Sarajevo | Premijer Liga |
| Mar 14, 2026 | Zeljeznicar Sarajevo 0-1 Borac Banja Luka | Premijer Liga |
| Nov 29, 2025 | Borac Banja Luka 2-1 Zeljeznicar Sarajevo | Premijer Liga |
| Sep 15, 2025 | Zeljeznicar Sarajevo 3-2 Borac Banja Luka | Premijer Liga |
| Apr 23, 2025 | Zeljeznicar Sarajevo 2-1 Borac Banja Luka | Premijer Liga |
| Mar 9, 2025 | Zeljeznicar Sarajevo 1-1 Borac Banja Luka | Premijer Liga |
Last archived meeting: Borac Banja Luka vs Zeljeznicar Sarajevo on May 16, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Borac Banja Luka score 1.6 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Zeljeznicar Sarajevo score 0.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 33% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Borac Banja Luka | 1.6 | 0.8 | 8 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
| Zeljeznicar Sarajevo | 0.9 | 1.1 | 5 | 4/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Borac Banja Luka sit 4th in Premijer Liga (3 points from 1 matches) and Zeljeznicar Sarajevo sit 5th (3 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Borac Banja Luka | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Zeljeznicar Sarajevo | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Borac Banja Luka vs Zeljeznicar Sarajevo?
- The Footlab model makes Borac Banja Luka the favourite at 75%, against 18% for a draw and 7% for Zeljeznicar Sarajevo.
- Where and when is Borac Banja Luka vs Zeljeznicar Sarajevo played?
- Borac Banja Luka vs Zeljeznicar Sarajevo is played on September 2, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Gradski Stadion, in the Premijer Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.