Velež vs Radnik Bijeljina: prediction and stats
Premijer LigaRegular Season - 5Kick-off on September 2, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Rođeni, Mostar
The Footlab model makes Velež the favourite at 66%, against 24% for a draw and 10% for Radnik Bijeljina. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Velež vs Radnik Bijeljina?
Velež starts as the favourite with a 142-point Elo edge (1,646 vs 1,504).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Velež have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Radnik Bijeljina have 1, 5 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Sloga Doboj(home) | 2-0 | Premijer Liga |
| Aug 16, 2026 | BSK Banja Luka(away) | 0-2 | Premijer Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Borac Banja Luka(away) | 1-3 | Premijer Liga |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Dunajska Streda(home) | 0-3 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Jul 23, 2026 | Dunajska Streda(away) | 0-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Siroki Brijeg(away) | 1-2 | Premijer Liga |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Zrinjski(home) | 1-5 | Premijer Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | FK Sarajevo(away) | 0-0 | Premijer Liga |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Ujpest(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 25, 2026 | Siroki Brijeg(away) | 0-4 | Premijer Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Velež win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Radnik Bijeljina win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 1, 2026 | Velež 1-0 Radnik Bijeljina | Premijer Liga |
| Feb 28, 2026 | Radnik Bijeljina 1-0 Velež | Premijer Liga |
| Nov 9, 2025 | Velež 1-0 Radnik Bijeljina | Premijer Liga |
| Aug 23, 2025 | Radnik Bijeljina 3-0 Velež | Premijer Liga |
| Apr 13, 2025 | Velež 3-2 Radnik Bijeljina | Premijer Liga |
| Feb 8, 2025 | Velež 2-1 Radnik Bijeljina | Cup |
Last archived meeting: Velež vs Radnik Bijeljina on May 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Velež score 0.9 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Radnik Bijeljina score 0.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 38% probability of over 2.5 goals and 34% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Velež | 0.9 | 1.4 | 4 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Radnik Bijeljina | 0.3 | 1.5 | 5 | 4/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Velež sit 7th in Premijer Liga (3 points from 3 matches) and Radnik Bijeljina sit 9th (1 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Velež | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 3 |
| 9 | Radnik Bijeljina | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Velež vs Radnik Bijeljina?
- The Footlab model makes Velež the favourite at 66%, against 24% for a draw and 10% for Radnik Bijeljina.
- Where and when is Velež vs Radnik Bijeljina played?
- Velež vs Radnik Bijeljina is played on September 2, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Rođeni, in the Premijer Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 38% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.