Sloga Doboj vs Čelik: prediction and stats
Premijer LigaRegular Season - 5Kick-off on September 2, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Dvorana SC u Doboju (Stadion Luke), Doboj
The Footlab model makes Sloga Doboj the favourite at 41%, against 29% for a draw and 30% for Čelik. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sloga Doboj vs Čelik?
A very open match: only 9 Elo points separate Sloga Doboj (1,492) and Čelik (1,501).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sloga Doboj have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Čelik have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Velež(away) | 0-2 | Premijer Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Siroki Brijeg(away) | 0-0 | Premijer Liga |
| Jul 19, 2026 | Teleoptik(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 26, 2026 | Rudar Prijedor(home) | 1-0 | Premijer Liga |
| May 22, 2026 | Posušje(away) | 1-0 | Premijer Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Borac Banja Luka(away) | 0-2 | Premijer Liga |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Siroki Brijeg(home) | 1-2 | Premijer Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Zrinjski(away) | 1-2 | Premijer Liga |
| Jun 6, 2026 | GOŠK Gabela(away) | 1-1 | 1st League - FBiH |
| May 31, 2026 | Igman Konjic(home) | 4-0 | 1st League - FBiH |
How many goals should we expect?
Sloga Doboj score 0.5 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Čelik score 2.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sloga Doboj | 0.5 | 1.6 | 7 | 3/15 | 7/15 |
| Čelik | 2.1 | 1.1 | 5 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sloga Doboj sit 8th in Premijer Liga (1 points from 2 matches) and Čelik sit 10th (0 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Sloga Doboj | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
| 10 | Čelik | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sloga Doboj vs Čelik?
- The Footlab model makes Sloga Doboj the favourite at 41%, against 29% for a draw and 30% for Čelik.
- Where and when is Sloga Doboj vs Čelik played?
- Sloga Doboj vs Čelik is played on September 2, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Dvorana SC u Doboju (Stadion Luke), in the Premijer Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.