Bornheim vs Borussia Neunkirchen: prediction and stats
Oberliga - MittelrheinMittelrhein - 7Kick-off on October 11, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Bornheim the favourite at 48%, against 21% for a draw and 31% for Borussia Neunkirchen. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bornheim vs Borussia Neunkirchen?
A very open match: only 65 Elo points separate Bornheim (1,801) and Borussia Neunkirchen (1,736).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bornheim have 8 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats; Borussia Neunkirchen have 0, 0 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 7, 2026 | Hennef 05(away) | 3-1 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| May 31, 2026 | VfL Vichttal(home) | 3-6 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| May 17, 2026 | Düren Merzenich(home) | 4-2 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| May 10, 2026 | Fortuna Köln II(away) | 3-0 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| May 3, 2026 | Eintracht Hohkeppel(home) | 3-1 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2025 | Borussia Mönchengladbach(home) | 0-5 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 28, 2020 | Hertha Wiesbach(away) | 3-5 | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
Bornheim score 2.3 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Borussia Neunkirchen score 1.5 and concede 5.0. The model gives a 77% probability of over 2.5 goals and 75% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bornheim | 2.3 | 1.9 | 3 | 9/15 | 13/15 |
| Borussia Neunkirchen | 1.5 | 5.0 | 0 | 1/2 | 2/2 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Bornheim | 30 | 14 | 4 | 12 | 65 | 56 | 46 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bornheim vs Borussia Neunkirchen?
- The Footlab model makes Bornheim the favourite at 48%, against 21% for a draw and 31% for Borussia Neunkirchen.
- Where and when is Bornheim vs Borussia Neunkirchen played?
- Bornheim vs Borussia Neunkirchen is played on October 11, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC), in the Oberliga - Mittelrhein.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 77% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.