Borussia Dortmund vs Atalanta: result 3-2 and analysis
UEFA Europa League16th FinalsKick-off on February 15, 2018 at 06:00 PM (UTC)SIGNAL IDUNA PARK, Dortmund
Full time
What was the result of Borussia Dortmund vs Atalanta?
Borussia Dortmund won 3-2 on February 15, 2018.
Goalscorers
- 30′A. SchürrleBorussia Dortmund
- 51′J. IličićAtalanta
- 56′J. IličićAtalanta
- 65′M. BatshuayiBorussia Dortmund
- 90′M. BatshuayiBorussia Dortmund
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Borussia Dortmund have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Atalanta have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 10, 2018 | Hamburger SV(home) | 2-0 | Bundesliga |
| Feb 2, 2018 | 1. FC Köln(away) | 3-2 | Bundesliga |
| Jan 27, 2018 | SC Freiburg(home) | 2-2 | Bundesliga |
| Jan 19, 2018 | Hertha BSC(away) | 1-1 | Bundesliga |
| Jan 14, 2018 | VfL Wolfsburg(home) | 0-0 | Bundesliga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 10, 2018 | Crotone(away) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Feb 4, 2018 | Chievo(home) | 1-0 | Serie A |
| Jan 30, 2018 | Juventus(home) | 0-1 | Coppa Italia |
| Jan 27, 2018 | Sassuolo(away) | 3-0 | Serie A |
| Jan 21, 2018 | Napoli(home) | 0-1 | Serie A |
How many goals should we expect?
Borussia Dortmund score 1.6 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Atalanta score 1.5 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Borussia Dortmund | 1.6 | 1.7 | 3 | 12/15 | 10/15 |
| Atalanta | 1.5 | 0.9 | 5 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy